目的 构建首发脑出血患者并发卒中相关性肺炎的风险预测模型并验证模型的预测性能。方法 回顾性分析2012年1月—2022年12月广州市第一人民医院治的419例首发脑出血患者的临床资料，按照7︰3比例随机化分为训练列（293例）和验证队列（126例）。统计基于开发队列数据，采用Logistic回归模型分析首发脑出血患者并发卒中相关性肺炎的影响因素，并构建风险预测模型。基于开发队列和验证队列数据，采用校准曲线、受试者操作特征（ROC）曲线下面积和决策曲线分析模型的预测性能。结果 419例首发脑出血患者中有113例发生卒中相关性肺炎，发生率为26.97%。美国国立卫生研究院卒中量表（NIHSS）评分、吞咽困难、初始血肿体积、中性粒细胞百分比与白蛋白比值（NPAR）、中性粒细胞计数与淋巴细胞计数比值（NLR）、手术治疗、气管插管、留置胃管均是首发脑出血患者并发卒中相关性肺炎的影响因素（P＜0.05）。基于上述影响因素构建了首发脑出血患者并发卒中相关性肺炎的风险预警模型，校准曲线显示模型在开发队列和验证队列中预测卒中相关性肺炎发生率均与实际发生率相近；ROC曲线显示此模型在开发队列、验证队列中预测的曲线下面积分别为0.906（95%CI：0.867~0.937）、0.884（95%CI：0.815~0.934）；决策曲线分析显示当开发队列阈概率在3%~80%内、验证队列阈概率在2%~76%内使用此模型干预比全/无干预更有临床价值。结论 基于NIHSS评分、吞咽困难、初始血肿体积、NPAR、NLR、手术治疗、气管插管、留置胃管构建的首发脑出血患者并发卒中相关性肺炎的风险预测模型具有良好预测性能和临床应用价值。
Objective To construct a risk prediction model for stroke associated pneumonia in patients with initial cerebral hemorrhage（ICH）and validate the predictive performance of the model．Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 419 patients with ICH admitted to our hospital from January 2012 to December 2022．They were randomly divided into a development cohort（293 cases）and a validation cohort（126 cases）according to a 7∶3 ratio．The Logistic regression model was used to analyze the influencing factors of stroke related pneumonia in patients with ICH based on the development cohort data，and a risk prediction model was constructed．Based on the development cohort data and validation cohort data，the predictive performance of the model was analyzed using calibration curves，receiver operating characteristic（ROC）curve，and decision curve analysis．Results Among 419 patients，113 developed stroke associated pneumonia，with a rate of 26.97%．The National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale（NIHSS）score，swallowing difficulties，initial hematoma volume，neutrophil percentage to albumin ratio（NPAR），neutrophil count to lymphocyte count ratio（NLR），surgical treatment，endotracheal intubation，and indwelling gastric tube were all independent influencing factors for stroke associated pneumonia in patients with ICH（P＜0.05）．Based on the above influencing factors，a risk prediction model for stroke associated pneumonia in patients with ICH was constructed．The calibration curve showed that the predicted incidence of stroke associated pneumonia by the model in both the development and validation cohorts was close to the actual incidence．The ROC curve showed that the predicted area under the curve for this model in the development cohort and validation cohort was 0.906（95%CI：0.867-0.937）and 0.884（95%CI：0.815-0.934），respectively．The decision curve analysis showed that when the threshold probability of the development cohort was between 3%-80%，and the threshold probability of the validation cohort was between 2%-76%，the intervention using this model was more clinically valuable than all/no intervention．Conclusions The risk prediction model for stroke associated pneumonia in patients with ICH based on NIHSS score，swallowing difficulties，initial hematoma volume，NPAR，NLR，surgical treatment，tracheal intubation，and indwelling gastric tube has good predictive performance and clinical application value．
目的 分析胃热壅盛证急性非静脉曲张性上消化道出血（Acute Non-variceal Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding，ANVUGIB）患者应用生地泻心汤联合矛头蝮蛇血凝酶治疗的效果。方法 收集2022-02—2025-09我院确诊的ANVUGIB患者98例为研究对象，按照治疗方案分为研究组与对照组，其中接受矛头蝮蛇血凝酶治疗的49例患者作为对照组，接受生地泻心汤、矛头蝮蛇血凝酶联合治疗的49例作为研究组。观察两组疗效、再出血率、止血效果、中医证候积分、安全性、凝血功能指标[全血活化部分凝血活酶时间（Activated Partial Thromboplastin Time，APTT）、凝血酶原时间（Prothrombin Time，PT）、血浆D-二聚体（D-Dimer，D-D）、纤维蛋白原（Fibrinogen，FIB）水平]、全血血红蛋白（Hemoglobin，Hb）、红细胞压积（Hematocrit，HCT）、红细胞计数（Red Blood Cell Count，RBC）以及血清尿素氮（Blood Urea Nitrogen，BUN）水平。结果 研究组治疗有效率93.88%比对照组77.55%高（P＜0.05）；与对照组相比，治疗12h、24h、48h研究组有效止血率较高，出血停止时间较短（P＜0.05）；治疗1周后，研究组中医证候积分低于对照组（P＜0.05）；研究组再出血率低于对照组（P＜0.05）；治疗1周后，研究组PT、APTT短于对照组，血浆D-D、FIB水平低于对照组（P＜0.05）；治疗1周后，研究组全血RBC、Hb、HCT水平高于对照组，血清BUN水平低于对照组（P＜0.05）；两组治疗期间未发生不良反应。结论 胃热壅盛证ANVUGIB患者应用生地泻心汤联合矛头蝮蛇血凝酶治疗效果确切，可缩短出血时间，减轻临床症状，改善凝血功能与循环血容量，且未见不良反应。
【摘要】目的：基于潜类别增长模型（LCGM）探讨脑出血患者神经功能恢复轨迹及不同轨迹对预后的影响。方法：回顾性采集360例自发性脑出血患者（2023年6月～2025年6月）的临床资料及神经功能评分[美国国立卫生研究院卒中量表（NIHSS）]，并采用LCGM识别神经功能恢复轨迹的潜在类别，分析影响恢复不良型轨迹的危险因素，对比不同轨迹的预后情况[改良Rankin量表（mRS）、格拉斯哥预后评分（GOS）]。结果：LCGM模型拟合结果显示，3类轨迹为最优拟合模型，可将360例自发性脑出血患者分为快速恢复型139例（38.61%）、稳定恢复型154例（42.78%）、恢复不良型67例（18.61%）；入院格拉斯哥昏迷量表（GCS）评分、初始NIHSS评分、机械通气、血管活性药物使用及血肿体积是神经功能恢复不良的独立影响因素（P＜0.05）；预后方面，三组患者mRS、GOS评分存在显著差异（P＜0.05）。结论：基于LCGM可有效识别脑出血患者神经功能恢复的异质性轨迹，同时还能明确影响患者神经功能修复的独立危险因素及不同神经功能恢复轨迹与预后的关联。
Abstract Objective: To explore the trajectory of neurological recovery in patients with cerebral hemorrhage and the impact of different trajectories on prognosis based on latent class growth model (LCGM). Methods: The clinical data and neurological function scores [National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS)] of 360 patients with spontaneous cerebral hemorrhage (June 2023 to June 2025) were retrospectively collected, and LCGM was used to identify potential categories of neurological recovery trajectories, analyze risk factors affecting poor recovery trajectories, and compare the prognosis of different trajectories [modified Rankin Scale (mRS), Glasgow Outcome Score (GOS)]. Results: The LCGM model fitting results showed that the three types of trajectories were the optimal fitting model, and 360 patients with spontaneous cerebral hemorrhage could be divided into 139 cases (38.61%) of rapid recovery type, 154 cases (42.78%) of stable recovery type, and 67 cases (18.61%) of poor recovery type; admission to Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score, initial NIHSS score, mechanical ventilation, use of vasoactive drugs and hematoma volume are independent influencing factors of poor neurological recovery (P＜0.05); in terms of prognosis, there were significant differences in mRS and GOS scores among the three groups of patients (P＜0.05).Conclusion: Based on LCGM, it is possible to effectively identify the heterogeneous trajectories of neurological function recovery in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), while also identifying independent risk factors influencing neurological function repair and establishing associations between different recovery trajectories and prognosis.
目的：评价络合统血疗法治疗脾不统血证痔出血的临床疗效与安全性。方法：采用回顾性病例研究设计，连续纳入广州医科大学附属中医医院肛肠科门诊数据库中2023年1月5日至2025年12月24日痔出血病例。原始记录317条，去重后311例，排除4例，最终纳入307例；其中271例接受络合统血疗法，构成主要疗效与安全性分析集。全部纳入病例中医辨证均为脾不统血证。主要观察指标为治疗前后便血评分、症状总积分、止血时间、疗效分级、不良反应、复发及改行手术情况。计量资料以均数±标准差或M（P25，P75）表示，治疗前后比较采用Wilcoxon符号秩检验。结果：271例络合统血疗法患者中，男性181例（66.79%），女性90例（33.21%）；年龄（47.83±16.37）岁。治疗前后便血评分分别为3.96±1.34分和0.72±1.33分，症状总积分分别为9.80±3.27分和2.01±2.37分，差异均有统计学意义（均P < 0.001）。止血时间为3（2，5.5）d。显效201例（74.17%），有效45例（16.61%），无效25例（9.23%），总有效率为90.77%。不良反应18例（6.64%），均为轻中度；复发32例（11.81%）；改行手术9例（3.32%）。结论：在脾不统血证痔出血门诊病例中，接受络合统血疗法后，便血评分与症状总积分显著下降，且短期安全性较好。
目的：评价络合统血疗法治疗脾不统血证痔出血的临床疗效与安全性。方法：采用回顾性病例研究设计，连续纳入广州医科大学附属中医医院肛肠科门诊数据库中2023年1月5日至2025年12月24日痔出血病例。原始记录317条，去重后311例，排除4例，最终纳入307例；其中271例接受络合统血疗法，构成主要疗效与安全性分析集。全部纳入病例中医辨证均为脾不统血证。主要观察指标为治疗前后便血评分、症状总积分、止血时间、疗效分级、不良反应、复发及改行手术情况。计量资料以均数±标准差或M（P25，P75）表示，治疗前后比较采用Wilcoxon符号秩检验。结果：271例络合统血疗法患者中，男性181例（66.79%），女性90例（33.21%）；年龄（47.83±16.37）岁。治疗前后便血评分分别为3.96±1.34分和0.72±1.33分，症状总积分分别为9.80±3.27分和2.01±2.37分，差异均有统计学意义（均P < 0.001）。止血时间为3（2，5.5）d。显效201例（74.17%），有效45例（16.61%），无效25例（9.23%），总有效率为90.77%。不良反应18例（6.64%），均为轻中度；复发32例（11.81%）；改行手术9例（3.32%）。结论：在脾不统血证痔出血门诊病例中，接受络合统血疗法后，便血评分与症状总积分显著下降，且短期安全性较好。
目的：评价络合统血疗法治疗脾不统血证痔出血的临床疗效与安全性。方法：采用回顾性病例研究设计，连续纳入广州医科大学附属中医医院肛肠科门诊数据库中2023年1月5日至2025年12月24日痔出血病例。原始记录317条，去重后311例，排除4例，最终纳入307例；其中271例接受络合统血疗法，构成主要疗效与安全性分析集。全部纳入病例中医辨证均为脾不统血证。主要观察指标为治疗前后便血评分、症状总积分、止血时间、疗效分级、不良反应、复发及改行手术情况。计量资料以均数±标准差或M（P25，P75）表示，治疗前后比较采用Wilcoxon符号秩检验。结果：271例络合统血疗法患者中，男性181例（66.79%），女性90例（33.21%）；年龄（47.83±16.37）岁。治疗前后便血评分分别为3.96±1.34分和0.72±1.33分，症状总积分分别为9.80±3.27分和2.01±2.37分，差异均有统计学意义（均P < 0.001）。止血时间为3（2，5.5）d。显效201例（74.17%），有效45例（16.61%），无效25例（9.23%），总有效率为90.77%。不良反应18例（6.64%），均为轻中度；复发32例（11.81%）；改行手术9例（3.32%）。结论：在脾不统血证痔出血门诊病例中，接受络合统血疗法后，便血评分与症状总积分显著下降，且短期安全性较好。
目的 汇总分析肝硬化患者消化道出血风险预测模型，为今后模型的建立和优化提供参考。方法 系统检索中国知网、维普、PubMed数据库在2025年4月22日前公开发表的所有肝硬化患者消化道出血风险预测模型，按纳入标准筛选文献，对最终纳入文章分析摘录并系统汇总，包括模型特征、危险因素及模型预测评估效果等信息。结果 共检索3 603篇预测模型相关研究论文，最终纳入30篇，其中中国27篇、韩国1篇、印度1篇、埃及1篇。22项研究收集了肝硬化病因，其中病毒性肝病最多（72.94%，2 922/4 006），药物性肝病及非酒精性脂肪性肝病最少（均为0.02%，1/4 006）。在研究类型上，有28篇单中心研究，2篇为多中心研究，其中有12个模型未进行验证，只有1个模型进行了外部验证，其余模型只进行了内部验证，曲线下面积（AUC）范围0.680~0.994。根据模型纳入因素特点，分为血常规指标、凝血指标、生化指标、影像学指标、复合指标、其他指标共6种，其中纳入因素最多为影像学指标，最少为凝血指标。在纳入危险因素中，第1位为门静脉直径，第2位为血小板计数，第3位为血红蛋白水平及脾脏硬度，所有因素中与脾脏相关的指标最多。结论 肝硬化患者消化道出血风险预测模型研究质量有待提升，影像学指标应用最广，脾脏相关指标重要性突出，门静脉直径、血小板计数、血红蛋白水平及脾脏硬度为最常用的危险预测因素。
Objective To summarize and analyze the prediction models for gastrointestinal bleeding risk in patients with cirrhosis，providing references for the establishment and optimization of future models．Methods A systematic search was conducted in CNKI，VIP，and PubMed for all published prediction models for gastrointestinal bleeding risk in patients with cirrhosis before April 22，2025．Articles were screened according to the inclusion criteria，and the finally included articles were analyzed and summarized，including model characteristics，risk factors，and model prediction evaluation effects．Results A total of 3 603 related research papers on prediction models were initially retrieved，and 30 were finally included，with 27 from China，one from South Korea，one from India，and one from Egypt．Among the 22 studies that collected the etiology of cirrhosis，viral hepatitis was the most common（72.94%，2 922/4 006），while drug-induced liver disease and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease were the least common（0.02%，1/4 006）．In terms of study type，28 were single-center studies and two were multicenter studies．Among them，12 models were not validated，only one model was externally validated，and the rest were only internally validated，with an area under the curve range of 0.680-0.994．According to the characteristics of the factors included in the models，they were divided into six types of indicators：blood routine，coagulation，biochemistry，imaging，composite，and others，among which imaging indicators were the most common and coagulation indicators were the least．In the included risk factors，the first was portal vein diameter，the second was platelets count，and the third was hemoglobin level and spleen stiffness，with the most factors related to the spleen．Conclusions The quality of studies on prediction models for gastrointestinal bleeding risk in cirrhosis patients needs to be improved．Imaging indicators are the most widely used，and spleen-related indicators are of prominent importance，with portal vein diameter，platelets count，hemoglobin level，and spleen stiffness being the most commonly used risk prediction factors．
目的 探讨自发性脑出血（SICH）患者静脉血栓栓塞症（VTE）的独立危险因素,并评估针对性分层预防措施的有效性及安全性, 为临床优化防治策略提供依据。方法 回顾性纳入2022年1月—2025年1月收治的86例SICH患者, 根据下肢深静脉超声结果分为深静脉血栓（DVT）组（n=16）与非DVT组（n=70）。采集患者基线资料、临床特征及实验室指标, 采用单因素及多因素Logistic回归分析VTE危险因素, 并基于独立危险因素制定分层预防方案。结果 多因素分析显示, 体质指数（BMI）升高（OR=1.22, 95%CI：1.06~1.41）、中心静脉置管（OR=5.23, 95%CI：1.37~19.95）、止血药物使用（OR=4.80, 95%CI：1.21~19.01）及NIHSS评分升高（OR=1.20, 95%CI：1.02~1.42）是VTE的独立危险因素（均P<0.05）。因此需针对SICH患者进行针对性干预, 包括基于BMI的个体化干预、中心静脉置管的精细化管控、止血药物的动态调控及神经功能保护与早期康复。结论 SICH患者VTE发生与代谢、医源性及神经功能损伤多因素交互作用密切相关, 应针对患者构建基于BMI、中心静脉管理及凝血监测的分层预防策略。
Objective To explore the independent risk factors for venous thromboembolism（VTE）in patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage（SICH）and to assess the effectiveness and safety of targeted stratified prophylaxis to provide a basis for optimizing prevention and treatment strategies in the clinic．Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on 86 SICH patients admitted between January 2022 and January 2025．Based on lower-extremity venous ultrasound findings, patients were divided into a deep venous thrombosis（DVT）group（n=16）and a non-DVT group（n=70）．Baseline characteristics, clinical features, and laboratory indicators were collected．Univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analyses were performed to identify VTE risk factors, and a stratified prevention protocol was developed based on independent risk factors．Results Multivariate analysis revealed that elevated body mass index（BMI）（OR=1.22, 95%CI：1.06-1.41）, central venous catheterization（OR=5.23, 95%CI：1.37-19.95）, hemostatic drug use（OR=4.80, 95%CI：1.21-19.01）, and higher NIHSS scores（OR=1.20, 95%CI：1.02-1.42）were independent risk factors for VTE（all P<0.05）．Consequently, targeted nursing interventions should be implemented for SICH patients, including BMI-based personalized care, refined management of central venous catheters, dynamic regulation of hemostatic drugs, and neuroprotective early rehabilitation．Conclusions VTE in SICH patients is closely associated with the interplay of metabolic, iatrogenic,and neurological injury factors．A stratified prevention strategy incorporating BMI monitoring, central venous catheter management, and coagulation surveillance is critical for reducing thrombotic risk while ensuring safety．
目的 基于Donabedian环节模型构建急诊脑出血患者护理质量评价体系, 并应用于临床,为急诊脑出血患者护理质量管理、监测与评价提供客观、科学的参考依据。方法 通过文献查阅、筛查与评价, 提取可行性资料, 基于Donabedian环节模型构建急诊脑出血患者护理质量评价体系的框架, 并采用德尔菲法完成两轮专家函询,确定最终的指标体系。选择2021年1月—2024年1月本院收治的230例急诊脑出血患者为研究对象, 将2021年1月—2022年6月作为干预前监测节点,该阶段的165例患者为传统组, 实施常规的护理质量管理;将2022年7月—2024年1月作为干预后监测节点,该阶段的165例患者为观察组, 实施以急诊脑出血患者护理质量评价指标进行护理质量监测管理。结果 两轮函询中专家积极系数分别为95%和100%, 意见提出率分别为56.25%和35.54%; 两轮函询专家权威系数为0.945、0.893; 第1轮函询中各项指标变异系数（CV）均值为0~0.136, Kendall’s W协调系数为0.065; 第2轮函询中变异系数（CV）均值为0~0.110, Kendall’s W协调系数为0.186。最终形成的急诊脑出血患者护理质量评价体系共涵盖一级指标3个、二级指标11个、三级指标55个。观察组入院-用药时间合格率、吞咽障碍患者动态评估率、气道管理合格率、早期被动/主动活动落实率高于传统组,差异具有统计学意义（χ2=14.850、12.261、8.183、37.420, P<0.05）, 观察组患者满意度明显高于传统组（χ2=14.049, P<0.001）。结论 本研究构建的急诊脑出血患者护理质量评价体系具有一定的科学性、可靠性和实用性, 可作为临床实现护理质量持续改进的重要评价工具。
Objective Based on the Donabedian model,the nursing quality evaluation system of emergency cerebral hemorrhage patients was constructed, and applied to clinical practice, providing an objective and scientific reference basis for realizing the nursing quality management, monitoring and evaluation of emergency cerebral hemorrhage patients．Methods Through literature review, screening and evaluation, the feasibility data was extracted, and the framework of the nursing quality evaluation system for patients with emergency cerebral hemorrhage was constructed based on the Donabedian model, and the Delphi method was adopted to complete two rounds of expert letter inquiry to determine the final index system．The study selected 230 patients with acute cerebral hemorrhage admitted to our hospital from January 2021 to January 2024 as the research subjects．The period from January 2021 to June 2022 was used as the pre-intervention monitoring period, during which 165 patients were in the traditional group, receiving routine nursing quality management．The period from July 2022 to January 2024 was used as the post-intervention monitoring period, during which 165 patients were in the observation group,implementing nursing quality monitoring and management based on evaluation indicators for the care of patients with acute cerebral hemorrhage．Results In the two rounds of letter inquiry, the positive coefficient of experts was 95% and 100%, respectively, and the rate of suggestions was 56.25% and 35.54%, respectively; the authority coefficient of experts in the two rounds of letter inquiry was 0.945 and 0.893．In the first round the mean value of coefficient of variation（CV）of each index was 0~0.136, and the coordination coefficient of Kendall’s W was 0.065; in the second round the mean value of variation coefficient（CV）was 0-0.110, and the coordination coefficient of Kendall's W was 0.186．The final nursing quality evaluation system for emergency cerebral hemorrhage patients covers 11 first-level indicators, 11 second-level indicators and 55 third-level indicators．The results showed that the pass rate of admission-medication time, dynamic assessment rate of dysphagia patients, airway management rate, and early passive / active activity implementation rate of the observation group were statistically significant different from those in the traditional group（χ2=14.850,12.261, 8.183, 37.420, P<0.05）, and the patient satisfaction in the observation group was significantly higher than that in the traditional group（χ2=14.049, P<0.001）．Conclusions The nursing quality evaluation system for emergency cerebral hemorrhage patients constructed in this study is scientific,reliable and practical, and can be used as an important evaluation tool to achieve continuous improvement of nursing quality in clinical practice．
自发性脑出血由于外伤性原因引起脑实质出血作为神经系统急危重症,该患病率约占所有脑卒中的10%~15%, 具有高患病率、高死亡率、高致残率的特点, 随着年龄的不断增长血管逐渐变薄、失去弹性,受到外在原因干扰时, 导致出血, 形成血肿, 依据血肿的不同程度, 患者的生存及预后有着显著的差异。因此快速且及时识别自发性脑出血尤为重要,可为临床医生评估患者病情变化及预后具有重要指导的意义, 然而在临床实践过程中对于快速识别脑出血的方法有所欠缺, 需要进一步优化其监测方法。因此本文综述了自发性脑出血的监测方法, 探讨通过无创监测、有创监测及联合监测自发性脑出血为临床快速高效判断脑出血提供科学的依据和参考。
The incidence of spontaneous cerebral hemorrhage accounts for about 10% to 15% of the stroke cases, and it has the characteristics of high incidence, high mortality rate, and high disability rate．It is very important to quickly identify spontaneous cerebral hemorrhage, which has important guiding significance for clinical doctors to evaluate patient condition changes and prognosis．This article reviews the latest research on non-invasive monitoring, invasive monitoring, and combined monitoring of spontaneous cerebral hemorrhage.
