目的   残余胆固醇（RC）是反映动脉粥样硬化性血脂异常的重要指标，其在糖尿病合并冠心病患者中的临床意义尚不明确。本研究旨在探讨RC水平对糖尿病合并冠心病患者心力衰竭风险的预测价值，并分析其相关性。方法   本研究为回顾性横断面研究，纳入2021年1月—2024年1月期间在鹤壁市人民医院接受诊治的292例糖尿病合并冠心病患者。根据是否存在心力衰竭分为心力衰竭组（128例）和无心力衰竭组（164例）。对基线特征进行比较，采用单因素和多因素Logistic回归分析RC与心力衰竭的相关性。同时，通过限制性立方样条（RCS）分析探讨RC与心力衰竭风险的线性关系，并通过受试者操作特征（ROC）曲线和曲线下面积（AUC）评估RC的预测价值。结果   心力衰竭组患者的男性比例、高血压患病率、RC水平等高于无心力衰竭组，而估算肾小球滤过率水平显著降低（P＜0.05）。单因素分析显示，RC＞0.7 mmol/L显著增加心力衰竭风险（OR=1.854，95%CI：1.161~2.960，P=0.010）。多因素Logistic回归分析中，全调整模型结果显示，RC作为分类变量时，RC＞0.7 mmol/L的患者心力衰竭风险显著增加1.891倍（OR=1.891，95%CI：1.047~3.415，P=0.035）；作为连续变量时，RC每增加1单位，心力衰竭风险增加2.464倍（OR=2.464，95%CI：1.495~4.064，P＜0.001）；Log₁₀RC的风险比为6.411（95%CI：2.246~18.302，P=0.001）；标化RC的风险比为1.687（95%CI：1.262~2.255，P＜0.001）。限制性立方样条分析表明RC与心力衰竭风险呈线性正相关，ROC分析显示RC预测心力衰竭的AUC为0.621（95%CI：0.555~0.687，P＜0.001）。结论  RC水平与糖尿病合并冠心病患者心力衰竭风险显著相关，且呈线性正相关。RC具有一定的预测价值，可作为该人群心力衰竭风险评估的潜在指标。

       Objective  Residual cholesterol（RC）is  an important marker  reflecting  dyslipidemia  associated with atherosclerosis．Its clinical significance in patients with diabetes and coronary heart disease（CHD）remains unclear．To explore the predictive value of RC level for the risk of heart failure（HF）in patients with diabetes and CHD and analyze their association．Methods  This retrospective cross-sectional study included 292 patients with diabetes and CHD who were treated at Hebi People’s Hospital between January 2021 and January 2024．Patients were divided into the HF group（128 cases）and the non-HF group（164 cases）based on the presence of HF．Baseline characteristics were compared，and univariate and multivariate Logistic  regression analyses were performed to assess the association between RC and HF．Additionally，restricted cubic spline（RCS）analysis was used to explore the linear relationship between RC and HF risk，and the predictive value of RC was evaluated using receiveroperating characteristic（ROC）curves and the area under the curve（AUC）．Results  The HF group had significantly higher proportions of males，hypertension prevalence and RC levels，while estimated glomerular filtration rate were significantly lower compared to the non-HF group（P＜0.05）．Univariate analysis showed that RC＞0.7 mmol/L significantly increased the risk of HF（OR=1.854，95%CI：1.161–2.960，P=0.010）．In the fully adjusted multivariate Logistic regression model，RC（RC＞0.7 mmol/L）was associated with a 1.891-fold increased risk of HF as a categorical variable（OR=1.891，95%CI：1.047–3.415，P=0.035）．As a continuous variable，each increased unit in RC was associated with a 2.464-fold increased risk of HF（OR=2.464，95%CI：1.495–4.064，P＜0.001）．The odds ratios for Log₁₀RC and standardized RC were 6.411（95%CI：2.246–18.302，P=0.001）and 1.687（95%CI：1.262–2.255，P＜0.001），respectively．ROC analysis indicated a linear positive association between RC and HF risk（P=0.002）．ROC analysis showed that RC had predictive value for HF，with an AUC of 0.621（95%CI：0.555–0.687，P＜0.001）．Conclusions  RC levels are significantly associated with the risk of HF in patients with diabetes and CHD，demonstrating a linear positive correlation．RC has potential predictive value and may serve as a useful indicator for assessing HFrisk in this population．

      目的   探讨妊娠期糖尿病（GDM）患者载脂蛋白B（Apo-B）、载脂蛋白A1（Apo-A1）水平在分娩巨大儿中的预测价值。方法   选取2023年1月—2024年1月在珠海市第五人民医院建档并进行孕检、分娩的85例GDM患者，按照分娩的新生儿体质量情况分为分娩正常组55例（新生儿体质量＜4 000 g）和分娩异常组30例（新生儿体质量≥4 000 g）。比较两组孕妇一般资料及孕早期的Apo-B、Apo-A1、Apo-B/Apo-A1比值，采用受试者操作特征（ROC）曲线分析Apo-B、Apo-A1、Apo-B/Apo-A1对GDM患者分娩巨大儿的预测价值。结果   分娩异常组Apo-B水平、Apo_B/Apo_A1比值（1.05±0.15）g/L、（0.81±0.23）］高于分娩正常组（0.95±0.12）g/L、（0.65±0.18）］（t分别为3.357、3.544，P＜0.05）；Apo-A1水平［（1.29±0.26）g/L］低于分娩正常组［（1.47±0.23）g/L］（t=3.292，P＜0.05）；ROC曲线显示，Apo-B、Apo-A1水平及Apo-B/Apo-A1比值预测GDM患者分娩巨大儿的曲线下面积（AUC）分别为0.705、0.660、0.709，灵敏度分别为63.33%、63.33%、66.67%，特异度分别为72.73%、74.55%、76.36%，其中Apo-B/Apo-A1比值预测效能最高（P＜0.05）。结论  GDM患者分娩巨大儿与孕早期Apo-B升高、Apo-A1水平降低密切相关，监测患者孕早期的Apo-B、Apo-A1水平及Apo-B/Apo-A1比值有助于临床对分娩巨大儿进行预测。

      Objective  To explore the predictive value of apolipoprotein B（Apo-B）and apolipoprotein A1（Apo-A1）levels on delivery of macrosomia in patients with gestational diabetes mellitus（GDM）．Methods  From January 2023 to January 2024，85 patients with GDM who were filed in the hospital and received pregnancy examination and delivery were selected．According to the neonatal body mass，the patients were divided into 55 cases in normal delivery group（newborn birth weight ＜4 000 g）and 30 cases in abnormal delivery group（ newborn birth weight ≥4 000 g）．The general data and levels of Apo-B，Apo-A1 and Apo-B/Apo-A1 in early pregnancy were compared between the two groups．Receiver operating characteristic（ROC）curve was used to analyze the predictive value of Apo-B，Apo-A1 and Apo-B/Apo-A1 on delivery of macrosomia in GDM patients．Results  The Apo-B and Apo-B/Apo-A1 in abnormal delivery group were（1.05±0.15）g/L and（0.81±0.23），which were higher than（0.95±0.12）g/L and（0.65±0.18）in normal delivery group（t=3.357，3.544，P＜0.05）．While the level of Apo-A1 in abnormal delivery group，（1.29±0.26）g/L，was lower than（1.47±0.23）g/L in normal delivery group（t=3.292，P＜0.05）．ROC curve showed that the areas under the curve（AUC）of Apo-B，Apo-A1 and Apo-B/Apo-A1 in  predicting macrosomia in GDM patients were 0.705，0.660 and 0.709，and the sensitivities were 63.33%，63.33% and 66.67%，and the specificities were 72.73%，74.55% and 76.36%，respectively．Apo-B/Apo-A1 had the highest predictive efficiency（P＜0.05）．Conclusions  The delivery of macrosomia in GDM patients is closely related to the increase of Apo-B and the decrease of Apo-A1 in early pregnancy．Monitoring Apo-B，Apo-A1 and Apo-B/Apo-A1 in early pregnancy is helpful to predict the delivery of macrosomia．

       目的   探讨脓毒性休克患者肿瘤坏死因子相关受体6 （TRAF6）、胆碱酯酶（ChE）及急性生理学和慢性健康状况评价Ⅱ（APACHE Ⅱ）对预后不良的预测价值。方法   回顾分析2023年2月—2024年3月于某院ICU病区收治的226例脓毒性休克患者的临床资料，基于患者预后情况分为预后良好组（n=151）以及预后不良组（n=75）。回顾226例脓毒性休克患者入院时及治疗后的TRAF6、ChE表达变化，并记录患者APACHEⅡ评分和序贯器官功能衰竭评估（SOFA）评分动态变化；比较并分析两组患者详尽的临床资料，探讨TRAF6、ChE联合APACHE Ⅱ评分之间的关联性以及上述指标对脓毒性休克患者预后情况的临床评估价值。采用Logistic回归来分析对脓毒性休克患者生存状况产生影响的潜在因素。结果   多因素Logistic回归分析，年龄、APACHE Ⅱ评分、SOFA评分、机械通气时间、TRAF6与ChE表达水平均是影响患者预后的独立危险因素（P＜0.05）；受试者操作特征曲线分析显示，年龄、APACHE Ⅱ评分、机械通气时间、SOFA评分、TRAF6、ChE表达水平联合预测脓毒性休克患者预后不良的曲线下面积为0.925，高于单独检测的0.689、0.783、0.794、0.781、0.708、0.827。结论   临床需要及时识别高龄、长时间机械通气时间、高APACHE Ⅱ与SOFA评分、高TRAF6和ChE表达水平的高风险患者，TRAF6、ChE表达水平、SOFA评分、APACHE Ⅱ评分可作为评估脓毒性休克患者预后情况的临床指标，联合应用能进一步提升临床价值。

      Objective  To explore the predictive value of tumor necrosis factor receptor associated factor 6（TRAF6），cholinesterase（ChE）and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II scove（APACHE II）for adverse prognosis in patients with septic shock．Methods  The clinical data of 226 patients with septic shock admitted to the Intensive Care Unit（ICU） of a hospital from February 2023 to March 2024 were retrospectively analyzed，and the patients were divided into a good prognosis group（n=151）and an adverse prognosis group（n=75）based on their prognosis．The expression of TRAF6 and ChE in 226 patients with septic shock was reviewed at admission and after treatment，while the dynamic changes of APACHE  II score and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment（SOFA）score were recorded．Detailed clinical data of the two groups were compared and analyzed to explore the correlation between TRAF6，ChE，APACHE II scores and the clinical evaluation value of the above indexes in the prognosis of patients with septic shock．Logistic regression was used to analyze the potential factors affecting the survival of septic shock patients．Results  Multiple Logistic regression analysis revealed that age，APACHE II score，SOFA score，mechanical ventilation time，TRAF6 and ChE expression levels were independent risk factors for prognosis（P＜0.05）．Receiver Operating Characteristic（ROC）curve analysis showed that the area under curve（AUC）was 0.925，which was higher than single index prediction（0.689，0.783，0.794，0.781，0.708 and 0.827）．Conclusions  High-risk patients with advanced age，prolonged mechanical ventilation，high APACHE II and SOFA scores，and high TRAF6 and ChE expression levels need to be identified in time．TRAF6，ChE expression levels，SOFA scores，and APACHE  II scores can be used as clinical indicators to evaluate the prognosis of septic shock patients．The combined application of those four indicators can further improve the clinical value．

目的 探讨振幅整合脑电图（aEEG）联合头颅磁共振成像（cMRI）对早产儿矫正12月龄时神经发育的预测价值。方法 选取110例早产儿为研究对象,并在矫正12月龄时采用Gesell 发育量表评估发育商（DQ）,依据DQ分为Gesell 正常组（DQ≥85,n=83）、Gesell 异常组（DQ<85,n=27）。采集早产儿及母亲临床资料,对比两组出生后72 h内aEEG、矫正胎龄37周时cMRI检查指标差异。结果 两组早产儿及母亲基线资料比较差异无统计学意义（P>0.05）。相较于Gesell 正常组,Gesell 异常组双顶径（BPW）降低[（70.68±5.32）mm vs（66.54±3.69）mm],睡眠-觉醒周期（SWC）不成熟率（20.48% vs 85.19%）、aEEG异常率（30.12% vs 70.37%）、两半球间距（IHD）增高[（2.95±0.83） mm vs（3.56±0.72）mm]（P<0.05）。Pearson相关分析结果显示,DQ值与IHD呈负相关,DQ值与BPW呈正相关（r=-0.361、0.598,P<0.05）。二元Logistic回归分析结果显示,BPW增高是Gesell 异常的独立保护因素（P<0.05）,IHD增高、SWC不成熟及aEEG异常是Gesell 异常的独立危险因素（P<0.05）。结论 早产儿出生后72 h内aEEG异常、矫正胎龄37周时cMRI异常可能提示矫正12月龄时不良神经发育结局。

Objective To evaluate the predictive value of amplitude-integrated electroencephalogram combined with cranial magnetic resonance on neurodevelopment for preterm infants at corrected age of 12 months．Methods A total of 110 preterm infants were selected as study subjects,and Gesell developmental scale was used to evaluate developmental quotient（DQ）at corrected age of 12 months．According to DQ,they were divided into normal Gesell group（DQ≥85,n=83）and abnormal Gesell group（DQ<85,n=27）．Clinical data of preterm infants and their mothers were collected,and the differences of amplitude-integrated electroencephalogram and cranial MRI（cMRI）were compared between two groups．Results There was no significant difference in baseline data between two groups（P>0.05）．Compared with the normal Gesell group,the biparirtal width（BPW）in the abnormal Gesell group was decreased（70.68±5.32mm vs 66.54±3.69mm）,the immaturity rate of sleep-wake cycle（SWC）（20.48% vs 85.19%）,the abnormal rate of aEEG（30.12% vs 70.37%）,and（IHD）（2.95±0.83mm vs 3.56±0.72mm）were increased（P<0.05）．The results of Pearson correlation analysis showed that DQ was negatively correlated with IHD,and DQ was positively correlated with BPW（r=-0.361、0.598,P<0.05）．Binary Logistic regression analysis showed that increased BPW was an independent protective factor for abnormal Gesell（P<0.05）,and increased IHD,immature SWC and abnormal aEEG were independent risk factors for abnormal Gesell（P<0.05）．Conclusions Abnormal aEEG within 72h after birth and abnormal cMRI at corrected age of 37 weeks may lead to adverse neurodevelopmental outcomes at corrected age of 12 months．

目的 探讨肝脏衰弱程度联合肝功能分级预测肝硬化患者肝病复合不良事件的价值,作为识别和干预不良结局的依据。方法 选择2022年12月—2023年12月医院接收的肝硬化患者80例进行研究,随访6个月观察患者不良事件发生情况,将出现2个及以上肝病并发症的肝病复合不良事件患者25例作为观察组,将出现1个肝病并发症或未出现并发症的患者55例作为对照组,比较两组患者的基本资料、实验室指标、营养指标、体力活动水平、肝脏衰弱指数（LFI）、肝功能Child-Turcotte-Pugh（CTP）评分,采用单因素和多因素Cox回归分析评估肝硬化患者肝病复合不良事件的危险因素,使用受试者工作特征（ROC）曲线下面积评估LFI联合CTP评分预测肝硬化患者肝病复合不良事件的价值。结果 观察组年龄、丙氨酸氨基转移酶（ALT）高于对照组,红细胞计数（RBC）、血红蛋白（Hb）、血肌酐（Scr）、总胆红素（TBIL）、步速、小腿围低于对照组（t分别为4.235、6.500、3.826、3.989、4.289、8.878、2.474,均P<0.05）。观察组营养风险48.00%、LFI≥4.5分52.00%、CTP分级B/C级76.00%高于对照组18.18%、14.55%、27.27%（χ²分别为7.664、12.454、16.699,均P<0.05）。单因素Cox回归分析显示年龄、ALT、营养风险、LFI≥4.5分、CTP分级B/C级、RBC、Scr、TBIL、Hb、步速、小腿围为肝硬化患者发生肝病复合不良事件的危险因素（HR分别为2.251、1.578、1.626、1.981、1.715、1.428、1.443、1.419、1.336、1.332、1.254,均P<0.05）。多因素Cox回归分析显示年龄、营养风险、LFI≥4.5分、CTP分级B/C级为肝硬化患者发生肝病复合不良事件的独立危险因素（HR分别为2.275、1.746、2.025、1.895,P均<0.05）。ROC曲线结果显示LFI、CTP、LFI联合CTP预测肝硬化患者肝病复合不良事件的AUC分别为0.82、0.79、0.88（P<0.05）。结论 年龄、肝脏衰弱、CTP分级B/C级、营养风险为肝硬化患者肝病复合不良事件的危险因素,肝脏衰弱程度联合肝功能分级预测肝硬化患者肝病复合不良事件具有更高的效能。

Objective To explore the value of predicting liver disease complex adverse events in patients with liver cirrhosis by combining the degree of liver frailty with liver function grading,as a basis for identifying and intervening in adverse outcomes．Methods A study was conducted on 80 patients with liver cirrhosis admitted to the hospital from December 2022 to December 2023． Patients were followed up for six months to observe the occurrence of adverse events．Twenty-five patients with liver disease complex adverse events with two or more liver disease complications were selected as the observation group,and 55 patients with one or no liver disease complication were selected as the control group．The basic information,laboratory indicators,nutritional indicators,physical activity levels,liver frailty index（LFI）,Child Turcotte Pugh（CTP）scores,univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis were used to evaluate the risk factors for liver disease complex adverse events in liver cirrhosis patients．The value of combining LFI and CTP score in predicting liver disease complex adverse events in patients with liver cirrhosis was assessed by Receiver Operating Characteristic（ROC）curve area．Results The age,alanine aminotransferase（ALT）,red blood cell count（RBC）,hemoglobin（Hb）,serum creatinine（Scr）,total bilirubin（TBIL）,walking speed,and calf circumference of the observation group were higher than those of the control group（t=4.235,6.500,3.826,3.989,4.289,8.878,2.474,all P<0.05）．The nutritional risk of the observation group was 48.00%,LFI score≥4.5 was 52.00%,CTP grade B/C was 76.00%,which was higher than that of the control group at 18.18%,14.55%,and 27.27%（χ²=7.664,12.454,16.699,all P<0.05）．Univariate Cox regression analysis showed age,ALT,nutritional risk,LFI ≥ 4.5,CTP grade B/C,RBC,Scr,TBIL,Hb,step speed and calf circumference were risk factors for the occurrence of liver disease complex adverse events in patients with liver cirrhosis（HR values=2.251,1.578,1.626,1.981,1.715,1.428,1.443,1.419,1.336,1.332,1.254,all P<0.05）．Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that age,nutritional risk,LFI ≥ 4.5,and CTP grade B/C were independent risk factors for liver disease complex adverse events in patients with liver cirrhosis（HR values=2.275,1.746,2.025,1.895,all P<0.05）．The ROC curve results showed that the AUC of LFI,CTP,and LFI combined with CTP in predicting liver disease composite adverse events in patients with liver cirrhosis were 0.82,0.79,and 0.88,respectively（P<0.05）．Conclusions Age,liver frailty,CTP grade B/C,and nutritional risk are risk factors for liver disease complex adverse events in patients with liver cirrhosis．The combination of LFI and liver function grade has higher efficacy in predicting liver disease complex adverse events in patients with liver cirrhosis．

目的 研究单核细胞/高密度脂蛋白比值（MHR）对免疫球蛋白A肾病（IgAN）患者肾小球硬化严重程度的预测价值。方法 回顾性分析2016年1月—2022年6月龙岩人民医院收治的296例IgAN患者的临床和肾脏病理资料,参照牛津分型将患者分为无肾小球节段性硬化组（S0组）、有肾小球节段性硬化组（S1组）及球性硬化组;根据Katafuchi肾小球积分将患者分为低三分位组、中三分位组及高三分位组。比较不同肾小球硬化程度和不同Katafuchi肾小球积分患者的MHR水平,对MHR与Katafuchi肾小球积分的关系进行相关性分析,绘制受试者操作特征（ROC）曲线分析MHR对肾小球硬化程度的预测效能。结果 S1组和球性硬化组的单核细胞计数分别为（0.41±0.11）×10⁹ /L、（0.45±0.10）×10⁹ /L,均高于S0组的（0.30±0.06）×10⁹ /L,对比差异有统计学意义（t₁=10.381,P₁<0.001;t₂=12.169,P₂<0.001）,球性硬化组的HDL水平为（1.14±0.16）mmoL/L,低于S0组（1.26±0.24）mmoL/L（t₂=2.992,P₂=0.003）。S1组和球性硬化组的MHR为（0.36±0.04）、（0.44±0.05）,大于S0组的（0.24±0.02）,对比差异有统计学意义（t₁=37.852,P₁<0.001;t₂=42.037,P₂<0.001）,球性硬化组的MHR大于S1组（t₃=9.673,P₃<0.001）。中三分位组和高三分位组的单核细胞计数为（0.34±0.06）×10⁹ /L、（0.48±0.10）×10⁹ /L,高于低三分位组的（0.27±0.05）×10⁹ /L,对比差异有统计学意义（t₁=9.017,P₁<0.001;t₂=20.080,P₂<0.001）,高三分位组的单核细胞计数高于中三分位组（t₃=8.855,P₃<0.001）。高三分位组的HDL水平为（0.96±0.12）mmoL/L,低于低三分位组的（1.23±0.21）mmoL/L和中三分位组的（1.19±0.16）mmoL/L,对比差异有统计学意义（t₂=8.132,P₂<0.001;t₃=7.954,P₃<0.001）。高三分位组的MHR为（0.49±0.07）,大于低三分位组的（0.25±0.03）和中三分位组（0.26±0.08）,对比差异有统计学意义（t₂=35.382,P₂<0.001;t₃=15.146,P₃<0.001）。相关性分析显示,单核细胞与Katafuchi肾小球积分呈正相关（r=0.58,P<0.05）,HDL与Katafuchi肾小球积分呈负相关（r=-0.52,P<0.05）,MHR与Katafuchi肾小球积分呈正相关（r=0.66,P<0.05）。MHR预测肾小球节段性硬化的曲线下面积（AUC）为0.609（95%CI：0.325~0.917）,此时截断值为0.29,灵敏度为68.42%,特异度为65.45%。MHR预测球性硬化的AUC为0.735（95%CI：0.527~1.001）,此时截断值为0.40,灵敏度为73.08%,特异度为66.14%。结论 MHR在预测IgAN患者肾小球硬化程度方面具有潜能。

Objective To explore predictive value of the monocyte / high-density lipoprotein ratio（MHR）on the severity of glomerulosclerosis in patients with immunoglobulin A nephropathy（IgAN）．Methods The clinical and renal pathological data of 296 IgAN patients admitted to Longyan People's Hospital from January 2016 to June 2022 were analyzed retrospectively,and the patients were divided into no segmental sclerosis group（S0）,segment sclerosis group（S1）and glomerular sclerosis group according to Oxford classification;the patients were divided into low group,middle group and high group according to Katafuchi score．MHR levels in patients with different degrees of glomerular sclerosis and different Katafuchi score were compared,the relationship between MHR and Katafuchi glomerular integration was analyzed,and ROC curves were drawn to analyze the predictive efficacy of MHR on the degree of glomerular sclerosis．Results Monocyte counts in the S1 and glomerular sclerosis groups [（0.41±0.11）10⁹ /L,（0.45±0.10）10⁹ /L] were all significantly higher than the S0 group（0.30±0.06）10⁹ /L,with statistically significant difference（t₁=10.381,P₁<0.001,t₂=12.169,P₂<0.001）．The HDL level（1.14±0.16）mmoL / L was significantly lower than that in the S0 group（1.26±0.24）mmoL / L（t₂=2.992,P₂=0.003）．The MHR in S1 and glomerular sclerosis group[（0.36±0.04）,（0.44±0.05）] were significantly greater than S0（0.24±0.02）（t₁=37.852,P₁<0.001,t₂=42.037,P₂<0.001）,and the MHR in glomerular sclerosis group was significantly greater than that of S1（t₃=9.673,P₃<0.001）．The monocyte counts of middle and high group[（0.34±0.06）10⁹ /L,（0.48±0.10）10⁹ /L] were significantly higher than the low group（0.27±0.05）10⁹ /L（t₁=9.017,P₁<0.001;t₂=20.080,P₂<0.001）and high group was significantly higher than middle group（t₃=8.855,P₃<0.001）．The HDL level of high group（0.96±0.12）mmoL/L was significantly lower than the low group（1.23±0.21）mmoL/L and middle group（1.19±0.16）mmoL/L,with statistically significance（t₂=8.132,P₂<0.001,t₃=7.954,P₃<0.001）．The MHR（0.49±0.07）in the high group was significantly greater than the low group（0.25±0.03）and middle group（0.26±0.08）,with statistically significance（t₂=35.382,P₂<0.001,t₃=15.146,P₃<0.001）．Correlation analysis showed that monocytes were positively correlated with Katafuchi score（r=0.58,P<0.05）,HDL negatively with Katafuchi score（r=-0.52,P<0.05）,and MHR positively with Katafuchi score（r=0.66,P<0.05）．The AUC of MHR predicting segmental sclerosis was 0.609（95%CI：0.325~0.917）,when the cut-off was 0.29,sensitivity was 68.42% and specificity of 65.45%．The AUC of MHR predicting glomerulosclerosis was 0.735（95%CI：0.527~1.001）,when the cut-off was 0.40,sensitivity was 73.08% and specificity was 66.14%．Conclusions MHR has the potential in predicting the degree of glomerulosclerosis in IgAN patients．

目的 探讨血沉(ESR)对川崎病(KD)冠状动脉病变(CAL)的预测价值。方法 收集 2017 年 5 月— 2021 年 6 月收治入院的KD患儿的临床资料,分析ESR对KD患儿CAL发生的预测作用。结果 纳入272例KD患儿,70例KD患儿合并CAL,202例KD患儿无CAL。KD患儿的ESR升高。单因素分析提示CAL组的ESR低于非CAL组,差异有统计学意义(P＜0.05)。ROC曲线下的面积为0.586,提示ESR可作为CAL的预测因子(P＜0.05)。ESR预测川崎病冠脉病变发生的临界值为76.5 mm/h。二分类Logistic回归分析显示,ESR是KD患儿发生CAL的独立危险因素(P＜0.05),当ESR＜76.5 mm·h^-1时,KD患儿CAL发生风险增加 (OR=2.38,95% CI: 1.25~4.53)。结论 KD急性期的ESR水平可用于预测KD患儿CAL的发生,ESR＜76.5 mm·h^-1时,提示KD患儿可能会出现CAL。

Objective To investigate the predictive value of erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR) on coronary artery lesions (CAL) in Kawasaki disease (KD). Methods Clinical data of children with KD admitted to the hospital from May 2017 to June 2021 were collected to analyze the predictive value of ESR on the occurrence of CAL in children with KD. Results Of the 272 enrolled children with KD, 70 children with CAL and 202 children without CAL. ESR was significantly higher in children with KD. Univariate analysis suggested that ESR was lower in the CAL group than in the non-CAL group, and the difference was statistically significant (P<0.05). The area under the ROC curve was 0.586, suggesting that ESR could be a predictor of CAL (P<0.05). The critical value of ESR for predicting the occurrence of CAL in KD was 76.5 mm/h. Dichotomous Logistic regression analysis showed that ESR was an independent risk factor for the development of CAL in children with KD (P<0.05), and the risk of CAL in children with KD was significantly increased when ESR was<76.5 mm/h. (OR = 2.38, 95% CI: 1.25-4.53). Conclusions ESR levels in the acute phase of KD can be used to predict the development of CAL in children with KD, and ESR <76.5 mm/h suggests that children with KD may develop CAL.

目的 研究CXC趋化因子配体4（CXCL4）、基质金属蛋白酶-9（MMP-9）、微小RNA-24（miR-24）对急性脑梗死（ACI）早期神经功能恶化（END）的预测价值。方法 分别选择2020年1月—2021年6月我院收治的30例ACI早期END患者（ACI+END组）,30例单纯ACI患者（ACI组）,同时期30例健康人群作为对照组,检测受试者CXCL4、MMP-9、miR-24表达情况及存在的相关性,分析血清CXCL4、MMP-9、miR-24表达情况与ACI早期发生END的关系。结果 CXCL4、MMP-9水平在对照组、ACI组、ACI+END组中依次升高,miR-24相对表达量依次降低（P<0.05）。血清CXCL4、MMP-9、miR-24水平在轻度、重度患者中呈升高趋势,miR-24相对表达呈降低趋势（P<0.05）。Logistic回归分析血清CXCL4、MMP-9、miR-24表达异常与ACI早期发生END独立相关（P<0.05）。经Pearson相关性分析发现,CXCL4与MMP-9之间呈正相关（r=0.584,P=0.001）;CXCL4、miR-24之间呈负相关（r=-0.569,P=0.001）,MMP-9、miR-24之间呈负相关（r=-0.567,P=0.001）。ROC曲线显示,与CXCL4、MMP-9、miR-24单项预测相比,三项联合对ACI的关系及对早期END的预测价值较高（P<0.05）。结论 CXCL4、MMP-9、miR-24在ACI发生END时出现异常表达,检测CXCL4、MMP-9、miR-24水平对ACI早期END具有一定预测价值,可尽早制定相关措施干预,提高治疗效率。

Objective To study the predictive value of CXC chemokine ligand 4（CXCL4）,matrix metalloproteinase-9（MMP-9）,microRNA-24（miR-24）in early neurological deterioration（END）of acute cerebral infarction（ACI）．Methods A total of 30 patients with ACI early END（ACI+END group）and 30 patients with ACI only（ACI group）who were admitted to our hospital from January 2020 to June 2021 were selected,and 30 healthy people（control group）who underwent physical examination in our hospital during the same period were selected．Expressions of CXCL4,MMP-9,and miR-24 were detected and their correlations were analyzed,and the relationship between the expressions of serum CXCL4,MMP-9,miR-24 and the early occurrence of END in ACI were analyzed．Results The levels of CXCL4 and MMP-9 were increased in the control group,ACI group and ACI+END group in turn,and the relative expression of miR-24 was decreased in turn,and the differences among the groups were statistically significant（P<0.05）．The levels of serum CXCL4,MMP-9,and miR-24 increased in mild and severe patients,while the relative expression of miR-24 decreased,and the differences between groups were statistically significant（P<0.05）．Logistic regression analysis showed that abnormal expressions of serum CXCL4,MMP-9 and miR-24 were independently correlated with the early occurrence of END in ACI（P<0.05）．After Pearson correlation analysis,it was found that there was a positive correlation between CXCL4 and MMP-9（r=0.584,P=0.001）,a negative correlation between CXCL4 and miR-24（r=-0.569,P=0.001）;a negative correlation between MMP-9 and miR-24（r=-0.567,P=0.001）．The ROC curve showed that compared with the single prediction of CXCL4,MMP-9 and miR-24,the predictive value of the combined prediction on ACI and early END were higher（P<0.05）．Conclusions CXCL4,MMP-9,and miR-24 are abnormally expressed in ACI when END occurs．Detection of CXCL4,MMP-9,and miR-24 levels has certain predictive value for early END of ACI,and relevant measures can be formulated as soon as possible to improve treatment efficiency．

目的 探究血清降钙素原(PCT)联合阴离子隙(AG)检测在脓毒症患者预后中预测价值。方法 选取2019年1月—2021年1月于我院治疗117例毒症患者作为研究对象,根据入院治疗28 d的预后情况,分为存活组(78例)和死亡组(39例),对比2组患者一般资料,采用多因素分析其高危因素,应用ROC曲线确定曲线下面积,评估血清PCT联合AG检测对该类患者预后的预测价值。结果 2组患者一般资料对比,年龄、中性粒细胞计数、血清C反应蛋白(CRP)、PCT、AG、APACHEⅡ评分差异有统计学意义(P<0.05);年龄、CRP、PCT、AG水平是该类死亡的危险因素;ROC曲线分析结果显示,血清PCT曲线下面积为0.737,最佳截断值为9.595;AG曲线下面积为0.791,最佳截断值为21.695;血清PCT联合AG检测曲线下面积为0.933,最佳截断值为1.3442。结论 血清PCT联合AG检测对脓毒症患者预后具有较高的预测价值。

Objective To investigate the predictive value of serum procalcitonin (PCT) combined with anion gap (AG) detection on the prognosis of patients with sepsis. Methods One hundred and seventeen patients with sepsis treated in our hospital from January 2019 to January 2021 were selected as study subjects and divided into survival group (78 patients) and death group (39 patients) according to their prognosis at 28 d of admission. The general data of the two groups was compared, multi-factor Logistic analysis of high-risk factors of sepsis patients was performed, area under the ROC curve was applied to assess the predictive value of serum PCT combined AG detection on the prognosis of sepsis patients. Results After comparing the general data of the two groups, the differences in age, neutrophil count, C-reactive protein (CRP), PCT, AG and APACHE II scores were statistically significant (P<0.05); multi-factor Logistic regression analysis showed that age, CRP, PCT and AG levels were risk factors for death in sepsis patients; the results of ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve of serum PCT was 0.737, with an optimal cut-off value of 9.595; the area under the AG curve was 0.791, with an optimal cut-off value of 21.695;the area under the curve of serum PCT combined with AG was 0.933, and the optimal cut-off value was 1.3442. Conclusions Serum PCT combined with AG assay had a high predictive value for the prognosis of patients with sepsis.

目的 探究血清C反应蛋白与白蛋白比值(CRP/ALB)、中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(NLR)、血糖不稳定指数(GLI)水平对重症肺炎患者预后的预测价值。方法 将我院2020年1月—2021年5月收治的126例重症肺炎患者作为研究对象,根据入院治疗28 d的预后情况,分为存活组(93例)和死亡组(33例)。对比2组患者的一般资料,采用多因素Logistic分析重症肺炎患者高危因素,应用ROC曲线评估血清CRP/ALB、NLR、GLI水平对重症肺炎患者预后的预测价值。结果 2组患者一般资料对比,NEU、CRP、APACHEⅡ、CRP/ALB、NLR、GLI水平差异有统计学意义(P<0.05);多因素Logistic回归分析显示APACHEⅡ评分、血清CRP/ALB、NLR、GLI水平是重症肺炎患者死亡的危险因素;ROC曲线分析结果显示,CRP/ALB、NLR、GLI曲线下面积分别为0.837,0.826,0.837。结论 CRP/ALB、NLR、GLI水平对重症肺炎患者预后均具有较高的预测价值,其中以CRP/ALB的预测价值最佳。

Objective To explore the prognostic predictive value of serum CRP/ALB, NLR and GLI in patients with severe pneumonia. Methods A total of 126 patients with severe pneumonia treated in our hospital from January 2020 to May 2021 were divided into survival group (93 cases) and death group (33 cases) according to the prognosis of 28 days of hospitalization. The general data of the two groups were compared, the high-risk factors of patients with severe pneumonia were analyzed by multivariate logistic, and the predictive value of serum CRP/ALB, NLR and GLI levels on the prognosis of patients with severe pneumonia was evaluated by ROC curve. Results There were significant differences in the levels of NEU, CRP, APACHE Ⅱ, CRP/ALB, NLR and GLI between the two groups (P<0.05); multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that APACHE Ⅱ score, serum CRP/ALB, NLR and GLI were the risk factors of death in patients with severe pneumonia; ROC curve analysis showed that the areas under CRP/ALB, NLR and GLI curves were 0.837, 0.826 and 0.837 respectively. Conclusions The levels of CRP/ALB, NLR and GLI had high predictive value in the prognosis of patients with severe pneumonia, among which CRP/ALB had the best predictive value.