目的 通过建立急性心力衰竭（AHF）患者服药依从性预测模型,提高AHF患者的服药依从性和临床管理效果。方法 纳入2021年1月—2023年12月在广州市番禺区何贤纪念医院住院治疗的580例AHF患者,通过收集患者的一般人口学资料、疾病相关资料及出院后6个月的服药依从性数据,应用Logistic回归模型分析患者服药依从性的影响因素,并基于影响因素建立预测模型。结果 患者服药依从性总体良好（75%）。依从性良好组与依从性差组的年龄、独居情况、合并基础病、服药种类、疾病了解评分、治疗信心评分和自我控制信心评分比较差异有统计学意义（P<0.05）。Logistic 回归分析显示危险因素包括年龄≥60岁（OR=1.774）、独居（OR=1.871）、合并基础病≥2种（OR=1.719）和服药种类≥7种（OR=1.456）。而疾病了解评分（OR=0.923）、治疗信心评分（OR=0.946）和自我控制信心评分（OR=0.901）是保护因素（P<0.05）。基于上述因素建立的预测模型,通过ROC曲线验证,曲线下面积为0.815（95%CI：0.780~0.850）,提示所构建的模型具有良好的区分度。对该模型的校准度进行评价,P=0.528,提示该预测模型拟合度良好。此外,该预测模型的一致性指数为0.738,说明模型的预测性能良好。绘制的决策曲线中,曲线位于极端线之上,当阈概率取值在9%~59%时,对应的净获益率为0~27%,提示建立的模型具有优秀的临床有效性。结论 AHF患者的服药依从性受到多种因素的影响,包括年龄、居住状态、合并基础病种类及服药种类等。
Objective To establish a predictive model for medication compliance among acute heart failure（AHF）patients in order to enhance their therapeutic compliance and optimize clinical outcomes. Methods A total of 580 AHF inpatients at He Xian Memorial Hospital in Panyu District, Guangzhou between January 2021 and December 2023 were enrolled. Demographic information, disease-specific data,as well as post-discharge medication compliance records within six-month were collected by investigators. Utilizing logistic regression analysis revealed several influential determinants affecting medication compliance which formed the basis for constructing our predictive model. Results Generally,patient compliance was good（75%）. The comparison between the good compliance group and the poor compliance group showed that there were significant differences in age, living alone,combined with underlying diseases, types of medication, disease understanding score, treatment confidence score and self-control confidence score（P<0. 05）. Logistic regression analysis showed that independent risk indicators including individuals aged ≥60 years（odds ratio[OR]=1. 774）, those living alone（OR=1. 871）, presence of two or more underlying diseases（OR=1. 719）, along with consumption of seven or more medications daily（OR=1. 456）. Conversely,disease awareness score（OR=0. 923）, treatment confidence score（OR=0. 946）, and self-control confidence score（OR=0. 901）were identified as independent protective factors. Validation using receiver operating characteristic curves demonstrated robust predictive performance with an area under curve value of 0. 815（95%CI：0. 780-0. 850）, affirming its efficacy. The calibration of the model was evaluated, with a P-value of 0. 528, indicating good fit of the predictive model. Additionally, the concordance index（C-index）of the model was 0. 738, suggesting its excellent predictive performance. The decision curve analysis revealed that the curve was above the extreme lines, with a net benefit rate ranging from 0 to 27% when the threshold probability falls between. Conclusions The medication compliance of AHF patients is influenced by various factors, including age, living arrangement, the number of underlying diseases, and the number of medications taken. Targeted interventions such as enhancing patient education, simplifying treatment regimens, and improving social support can effectively improve the medication compliance of AHF patients. The predictive model established in this study provides a scientific basis for clinicians to develop more precise and effective individualized intervention measures,thereby improving the prognosis and quality of life.
目的 血清同型半胱氨酸（Hcy）水平与慢性肾脏病（CKD）的进展相关，但中年人群的非线性关联研究较少，本研究旨在寻找慢性肾脏病危险因素。方法 本研究基于NHANES 1996—2006年数据，纳入5 361例45~65岁参与者，以估算肾小球滤过率（eGFR）＜60 mL/（min·1.73 m2 ）和尿白蛋白/肌酐比值（uACR）≥30 mg/g评估肾功能下降。结果 通过逻辑回归及平滑曲线拟合分析发现，Hcy每升高1 µmol/L，eGFR降低的风险增加8%（OR=1.08，95%CI：1.06~1.10），uACR升高的风险增加2%（OR=1.02，95%CI：1.00~1.04）。非线性分析显示，Hcy对eGFR的阈值效应拐点为13.4 µmol/L（拐点左侧OR=1.59，95%CI：1.49~1.70；右侧无显著关联）。亚组分析表明，性别、高血压、糖尿病等协变量无交互作用，然而，在敏感性分析中，糖尿病患者中Hcy与eGFR降低的关联更强（交互P=0.015 8）。结论 本研究提示，控制Hcy水平或可延缓美国中年人群（尤其是糖尿病患者）的肾功能衰退。
Objective Elevated serum homocysteine（Hcy）levels are linked to chronic kidney disease（CKD）progression，yet the nonlinear relationship in middle-aged populations remains underexplored．Methods This study analyzed data from 5 361 participants aged 45–65 years in the NHANES 1996–2006 cohort．Renal dysfunction was defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate（eGFR）＜60 mL/min/1.73 m2 and urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio（uACR）≥30 mg/g．Results Logistic regression and smoothed curve fitting revealed that each 1 µmol/L increase in Hcy elevated the risk of reduced eGFR by 8%（OR=1.08，95% CI：1.06–1.10）and uACR by 2%（OR=1.02，95% CI：1.00–1.04）．A nonlinear threshold effect was identified at 13.4 µmol/L，with a stronger association below this threshold（OR=1.59，95% CI：1.49–1.70）and no significant effect above it．Subgroup analyses showed no interactions with gender or hypertension，but a stronger Hcy-eGFR association was observed in diabetics（interaction P=0.0158）．Conclusions These findings suggest that controlling Hcy levels may mitigate renal decline，particularly in diabetic populations，warranting further causal investigations．
近视是一种常见的屈光不正状态，也是全球范围内普遍存在的视觉健康问题，其特征是在眼部调节放松的状态下，平行光线经眼的屈光系统折射后聚焦在视网膜前，导致视远模糊。近视通常在儿童期发生和发展，但在成年期仍可继续发生和发展。本综述对已发表的关于成年人近视发生和进展的文献进行总结，描述成年人近视的流行病学特征，包括近视率、近视发病率、近视进展率及其近视特征（屈光度及眼轴），总结成年人近视发病和进展的危险因素。了解成年人近视的发展特点和管理方式对于近视防控实践具有重要意义。
Myopia is a common refractive error and a universal visual health problem in the world. It is characterized by the fact that parallel light rays refract through the refractive system of the eye and focus in front of the retina when the eye accommodatior is relaxed, resulting in distant blurred vision. Myopia usually occurs and develops in childhood, but can continue to occur and develop in adulthood. This review summarizes the published literature on the occurrence and progression of myopia in adults, describes the epidemiological characteristics of myopia in adults, including myopia rate, myopia incidence rate, myopia progression rate, and myopia characteristics（diopter and ocular axis） ; and summarizes the risk factors for the occurrence and progression of myopia in adults. Understanding the developmental characteristics and management methods of adult myopia is of great significance for myopia prevention and control practice.
