目的 探讨两种不同机器学习算法在妊娠期糖尿病(gestational diabetes mellitus,GDM)风险预测中的应用。方法 选取2019年7月—2020年8月在广州市妇女儿童医疗中心及广东省计划生育专科医院进行产前检查的孕早期妇女520例,其中妊娠期糖尿病孕妇200例,随机抽取同期正常孕妇320例,收集孕妇的一般资料和孕早期(8～12周)的生化指标、血常规和凝血功能等检测资料。利用这些分析变量建立支持向量机(SVM)和Logistic回归(LR)预测模型。根据模型预测能力和模型实用性,如准确率、精确率、真阳性(TP)率、假阳性(FP)率、召回率、F测度、受试者工作特征曲线(ROC)进行效果评价。结果 两种预测模型的分类准确率总体为86%。SVM模型在真阳性(TP)率、假阳性(FP)率、召回率、F测度、受试者工作特征曲线(ROC)方面优于LR模型。结论 在分类与预测方面,支持向量机算法比Logistic回归模型更具有实用价值。

Objective To explore the application of two different machine learning algorithms in the risk prediction of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM). Methods A total of 520 pregnant women with gestational diabetes mellitus were selected from Women and Children's Medical Center and Guangdong Family Planning Hospital from July 2019 to August 2020, including 200 cases of gestational diabetes mellitus, and 320 normal pregnant women in the same period. The general information of pregnant women and the detection data of biochemical indexes, blood routine test and coagulation function in early pregnancy (8～12 weeks) were collected. Support vector machine (SVM) and logistic regression (LR) prediction models were established by using these analysis variables. According to the predictive ability and practicability of the model, something like accuracy rate, precision ratio, true positive (TP) rate, false positive (FP) rate, recall rate, F-measure and receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) were evaluated. Results The classification accuracy of the two models was 86%. SVM model is better than LR model in TPrate, FPrate, recall rate, F measure and ROC. Conclusion Support vector machine is more practical than logistic regression model in classification and prediction.

目的 探讨延续性健康指导联合预见性干预对慢性脑卒中患者脑功能影响。方法 选取2019年6月—2020年6月我院收治的慢性脑卒中患者118例,使用随机数字表法将其分为两组,对照组进行预见性干预,研究组进行延续性健康指导联合预见性干预。比较两组效果、神经运动功能、不良反应。结果 研究组效果大于对照组(P＜0.05);研究组神经运动功能大于对照组(P＜0.05);研究组不良反应少于对照组(P＜0.05)。结论 慢性脑卒中护理中,延续性健康指导联合预见性干预效果较好,值得应用。

Objective To investigate the effects of continuous health guidance and combined predictive intervention on cerebral function in patients with chronic stroke. Methods A total of 118 patients with chronic stroke admitted to our hospital from June 2019 to June 2020 were selected and divided into two groups using the random number table method. The control group received predictive intervention, and the study group received continuous health guidance combined predictive intervention. The effects, neuromotor functions and adverse reactions of the two groups were compared. Results The effect of the study group was greater than that of the control group (P<0.05). The neuromotor function of the study group was higher than that of the control group (P<0.05). The adverse reactions in the study group were less than those in the control group (P<0.05). Conclusion In the nursing of chronic stroke, the effect of continuous health guidance combined with predictive intervention is good, and it is worth applying.

目的 基于网络药理学方法预测银杏叶治疗心肌缺血的潜在靶点及信号通路。方法 利用 TCMSP 平台筛选生物利用度(OB)≥ 30% 和类药性(DL)≥ 0.18 的活性成分及作用靶点。利用GeneCards和OMIM数据库检索心肌缺血疾病相关靶点,并提取药物成分和心肌缺血疾病的共有靶点作为关键靶点。通过在线TRING平台构建PPI网络,并采用Cytoscape 软件构建可视化的“化合物-靶点-通路”网络,进一步进行GO 功能富集分析和KEGG通路富集分析。结果 筛选得到 27种潜在的药效成分,2 164个化合物靶点,531个心肌缺血相关靶基因。两者取交集后获得疾病-类药活性成分40个共同靶点,PPI 蛋白互作网络自由度较高的节点依次为:IL6、VEGFA、CASP3、MAPK8、MYC、NOS3。GO 功能富集分析得到42个 GO 条目,KEGG 通路富集分析得到42条信号通路。结论 银杏叶治疗心肌缺血主要GO 能力富集在半胱氨酸肽链内切酶活性,内肽酶活力,激活转录因子结合,DNA结合转录激活剂活性,RNA聚合酶II特异性等功能,调控TNF信号通路,糖尿病并发症的年龄愤怒信号, 细胞凋亡,PI3K-Akt信号通路等信号,进一步达到对心肌缺血疾病的治疗。

Objective To predict the potential targets and signal pathways of ginkgo leaf in the treatment of myocardial ischemia based on network pharmacology. Methods The active components and targets of bioavailability (OB) ≥ 30% and drug-like (DL) ≥ 0.18 were screened by TCMSP platform.The related targets of myocardial ischemic diseases were searched by GeneCards and OMIM database, the components and the common targets of myocardial ischemic diseases were extracted as the key targets. To build the PPI network through the online STRING platform, a visual “compound-target-pathway” network was constructed to further analyze the functional enrichment of GO and the enrichment of KEGG pathway. Results 27 potential active components, 2 164 compound targets and 531 myocardial ischemia related target genes were screened. After the intersection of the two, 40 common targets of disease-class active components were obtained. The nodes with higher degree of freedom of PPI protein interaction network were IL6、VEGFA、CASP3、MAPK8、MYC and NOS3.42 entries were obtained by GO functional enrichment analysis and 42 signal pathways were obtained by KEGG pathway enrichment analysis. Conclusion Ginkgo leaf may be a target of cysteine-type endopeptidase activity,endopeptidase activity,activating transcription factor binding,DNA-binding transcription activator activity, RNA polymerase II-specific function. TNF signaling pathway, AGE-RAGE signaling pathway in diabetic complications, apoptosis, PI3K-Akt signaling pathway were regualted to achieve the treatment of myocardial ischemia disease.

目的 探讨血浆BNP预测急性肺栓塞患者发生心血管疾病的临床价值。方法 选择2017年1月—2017年12月在我院诊断为急性肺血栓栓塞患者97例为研究对象,根据有无出现心血管并发症分为观察组(21例)和对照组(76例)。比较两组间实验室指标的差异性和相关性,并采用ROC曲线分析BNP预测急性肺栓塞患者发生心血管疾病的临床价值。结果 观察组共出现21例心血管并发症,占21.65%。观察组中BNP、Hs-CRP 、TnI 、AST、CK和DD的浓度分别为(413.01±33.09)(pg/mL)、(20.49±2.88)mg/L、(0.154±0.103)μg/L、(131.23±27.05)U/L、(421.64±50.70)U/L和(1.95±0.18)mg/L,高于对照组(P<0.05)。Spearman相关性分析,血浆BNP水平与Hs-CRP 、TnI 、AST、CK和DD水平呈正相关(r=0.802、0.718、0.683、0.705、0.753,P<0.05)。ROC曲线分析,BNP的AUC面积最高,为0.834(95%CI:0.795~0.935),敏感度和特异度分别为90.5%和87.5%,联合诊断的AUC面积为0.892(95%CI:0.811~0.976),敏感度和特异度分别为84.6%和91.3%。结论 血浆BNP对于预测急性肺栓塞患者发生心血管疾病具有极高临床价值,采取多指标联合检查可以更加有效发现心血管疾病的发生。

Objective To investigate the clinical value of plasma BNP in predicting cardiovascular disease in patients with acute pulmonary embolism. Methods 97 cases of acute pulmonary thromboembolism diagnosed in our hospital from January to December 2017 were selected.The patients were divided into the observation group (21 cases) and control group (76 cases) according to whether there were cardiovascular complications.The differences and correlations of laboratory indexes between the two groups were compared, and the ROC curve was used to analyze the clinical value of BNP in predicting the occurrence of cardiovascular disease in patients with acute pulmonary embolism. Results 21 cases of cardiovascular complications occurred in the observation group, accounting for 21.65%.The concentration of BNP, Hs-CRP, TnI, AST, CK and DD in the observation group were (413.01±33.09) (pg/mL), (20.49±2.88) mg/L, (0.154±0.103) μg/L, (131.23±27.05) U/L, (421.64±50.70) U/L and (1.95±0.18) mg/L, which were higher than those of the control group(P<0.05). Spearman correlation analysis showed that plasma BNP levels were positively correlated with the levels of Hs-CRP, TnI, AST, CK and DD (r=0.802,0.718,0.683,0.705,0.753,P<0.05). The ROC curve analysis showed that the area of AUC of BNP was 0.834 (95%CI:0.795~0.935) of the highest, the sensitivity and specificity were 90.5% and 87.5% respectively. The area of combined diagnosis of AUC was 0.892 (95%CI:0.811~0.976),the sensitivity and specificity were 84.6% and 91.3%, respectively. Conclusion Plasma BNP is of high clinical value for predicting the incidence of cardiovascular disease in patients with acute pulmonary embolism. Multi-index combined examination may be more effective to detect the occurrence of cardiovascular disease.

目的 探讨STAF评分(the score for the targeting of atrial fibrillation,STAF)对心源性脑卒中(cardioembolism, CE)的预测价值,以辅助急性缺血性卒中患者病因学分型。方法 本研究为回顾性病例研究,连续入选2009年1月—2010年12月在暨南大学附属第一医院神经内科住院的急性缺血性卒中患者。所有患者严格按照STAF评分标准进行评分,按TOAST(the trial of org 10172 in acute stroke treatment,TOAST)病因学分型标准进行分型,采用SPSS 13.0软件进行统计分析,采用受试者工作特征曲线(receiver operator characteristic,ROC)来评判STAF评分对CE的预测价值。结果 共收集317例患者,其中CE 37例(11.67%)。STAF≥5提示为CE的灵敏度为89%,特异度为91%。结论 STAF评分对CE的预测有较好的作用价值,可辅助急性缺血性卒中病因学分型。

目的 应用FRAX^®工具评估广州社区中老年人发生骨质疏松性骨折的风险。方法 回顾性研究1 140例广州社区中老年人的临床资料,应用FRAX^®工具计算未来10年发生主要骨质疏松性骨折及髋部骨折的风险,分析不同危险因素与骨折风险的关系。结果 广州社区中老年人群10年内发生主要骨质疏松性骨折概率为(4.2±3.6)%,髋部骨折概率为(1.3±2.4)%。主要骨质疏松性骨折风险及髋部骨折风险、OSTA值均随着年龄增长而增加。多因素回归分析结果显示: 年龄、性别、既往骨折、继发性骨质疏松、股骨颈T值、跌倒对主要部位骨折及髋部骨折风险具有独立性预测意义。结论 FRAX^®工具可用于评估广州社区中老年人骨质疏松性骨折风险,建议在社区中老年人健康体检时应用FRAX^®工具进行骨折风险评估。

Objective To predict the osteoporotic fracture risk in senile people in Guangzhou communities by FRAX,the fracture risk assessment tool published by WHO. Methods Clinical data of 1140 cases were collected for the retrospective analysis. The FRAX tool was uesed to calculate the 10-year probability of a major osteoporotic and hip fracture.The relationship between different risk factors and the fracture risk predicted by FRAX was analyzed. Results The 10-year probability of major osteoporotic fractures was (4.2±3.6)%, and the 10-year probability of hip fractures was (1.3±2.4)%.The 10-year probability of the major osteoporotic and hip fracture increased with age.Multivariate regression analysis showed that age,gender,previous fracture,secondary osteoporosis,T-score of femoral neck BMD and fall were independent predictors of the 10-year probability of major osteoporotic fracture and hip fracture. Conclusion The FRAX tool may be effectively applied to assess the fracture risk of senile population in Guangzhou communities.We recommedated that FRAX-tool should be included in routine health check-up.

目的 探讨红细胞分布宽度(RDW)与稳定性冠心病的冠脉病变严重程度的关系,评价RDW对稳定性冠心病的预测价值。方法 收集我院2016年11月—2018年11月期间因胸痛住院的患者330例,根据冠脉造影确诊稳定性冠心病组200例,除外冠心病130例为对照组。比较2组RDW水平的差异,分析RDW与冠脉病变严重程度(Gensini评分)的相关性及稳定性冠心病的独立危险因素。结果 稳定性冠心病组RDW水平高于对照组(P<0.05),稳定性冠心病组RDW与 Gensini评分之间存在正相关(r=0.217,P=0.002);多因素logistic回归分析显示RDW(OR=2.950,95%CI: 1.986~4.381,P<0.001)是稳定性冠心病的独立危险因子。结论 RDW与稳定性冠心病的冠脉病变严重程度呈正相关,RDW是稳定性冠心病的独立危险因素,为稳定性冠心病的诊断提供一定预测价值。

Objective To investigate the relationship between the distribution width of red blood cells (RDW) and the severity of coronary artery disease in stable coronary artery disease(SCAD), and to evaluate the predictive value of RDW for SCAD. Methods Patients who were hospitalized for chest pain from November 2016 to November 2018 were enrolled (n=330). According to coronary angiography,200 patients were divided into SCAD group (n=200),except for the SCAD group, the remaining 130 cases were the control group(n=130). The differences of RDW levels between the two groups were compared, and the correlation between RDW and severity of coronary artery disease (Gensini score) and independent risk factors for SCAD were analyzed. Results The RDW level in the SCAD group was higher than that in the control group (P<0.05). There was a positive correlation between the RDW and Gensini scores in the SCAD group (r=0.217,P=0.002). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed RDW (OR=2.950, 95% CI: 1.986~4.381, P<0.001) is an independent risk factor for SCAD. Conclusion RDW is positively correlated with the severity of coronary artery disease in SCAD. RDW is independent risk factor of SCAD and provides predictive value for the diagnosis of SCAD.

目的 探讨肝硬化失代偿期患者前列素E2(PGE2)水平对患者感染发生预测价值。方法 选取2016年3月—2017年6月我院收治肝硬化失代偿期患者64例为研究对象,根据患者是否合并有感染分为A组(合并感染,23例)和B组(未合并感染,41例),采用酶联免疫吸附(ELISA)法检测患者PGE2水平,比较两组患者血清PGE2水平,并用ROC曲线预测PGE2在肝硬化失代偿期合并感染价值。结果 A、B两组患者在性别、年龄、白蛋白水平、WBC计数、Child分级、肝硬化病因方面比较均无统计学意义(P＞0.05)。A组患者PGE2水平高于B组[(3 894.6±368.4)pg/mL vs(2 541.8±318.6)pg/mL,P＜0.05]。ROC曲线在肝硬化失代偿期患者合并感染风险曲线下面积为0.86(95%CI为0.75～0.91),有统计学意义(P=0.000 0),当肝硬化失代偿期患者血清PGE2浓度为2 845 pg/mL时,预测肝硬化失代偿期患者合并感染灵敏度和特异度最高,分别为0.831和0.794。结论 肝硬化失代偿期患者PGE2水平显著升高,检测PGE2水平对肝硬化失代偿期患者发生感染有一定预测价值。

目的 分析小婴儿化脓性脑膜炎的临床特点,探讨其预测因子。方法 回顾性分析我科2015—2017年53例小月龄化脓性脑膜炎患儿的临床资料。以同时期、同年龄层的细菌感染患儿81例为观察组。通过单因素和多因素分析进行两组比较。结果 单因素分析提示早产儿、激惹、嗜睡、前囟紧张、颈强直及循环不良方面有差异。脑脊液白细胞数量、蛋白浓度、糖浓度,糖与同期血糖比值以及乳酸脱氢酶浓度均有明显差异。多因素分析提示仅脑脊液蛋白及乳酸脱氢酶有统计学意义。受试者工作曲线显示脑脊液蛋白、乳酸脱氢酶及两项指标合并的诊断效能均较高。结论 小婴儿化脓性脑膜炎患儿缺乏典型表现,密切关注早产儿基础疾病,激惹、嗜睡、前囟紧、颈强直及循环不良的临床表现,脑脊液蛋白及乳酸脱氢酶等实验室指标,有利于早期识别,及时干预,减少不良事件的发生。

Objective We aimed to analyze the clinical characteristics of community acquired purulent meningitis(PM) in infants and explore the predictors of early diagnosis. Methods Retrospective study was done with patients in our NICU from Jan 2015 to Dec 2017 aged during 29 days to 90 days. We divided them into two groups, 53 of which diagnosed PM were included as a case group, while 81 of which admitted inpatients with fever at the same periods and in the same age ranges were included as a control group. Factors including adverse basic events, clinical manifestations, laboratory examinations and so on were compared between two groups. Results Univariate analysis showed that premature, manifestations such as irritability, lethargy, bulging fontanelle,a stiff neck and the poor circulation, and cerebrospinal fluid(CSF) data like the mount of white blood cell, concentration of CSF protein, concentration of CSF glucose, CSF/blood glucose ratio, concentration of CSF lactate dehydrogenase were different between two groups. In the multivariate analysis, concentration of CSF Protein(＞0.450 g/L, OR=5.819, P=0.002) and concentration of CSF lactate dehydrogenase(＞28.300 U/L,OR=7.892, P＜0.001) were proven to be independent risk factors for the diagnosis of PM. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis revealed that the CSF protein, the CSF lactate dehydrogenase and the combination of the two factors had an increased area under the curve (AUC), the mounts of each which were 0.839,0.867 and 0.890. Conclusion Patients with PM in early infantile period are often lack of atypical clinical characteristics. We need pay highly attention to the adverse basic events, irritability, lethargy, bulging fontanelle,a stiff neck, poor circulation and CSF results. The independent predictors for early diagnosis were concentration of CSF protein and lactate dehydrogenase. It indicates that if the predictors could be identified early, diagnosis could be made timely and interventions could be operated immediately. It will be beneficial for progression-free and overall survival.

目的 研究鳞癌抗原(SCC-Ag)的表达对宫颈癌手术治疗后临床转归的预测价值。方法 选取我院2014年4月—2015年9月实施宫颈癌手术的患者52例,分别于手术前后分析所有患者的鳞癌抗原表达,对患者进行1年的随访,以发生癌细胞转移、复发或死亡为研究终点,比较预后良好的患者与预后差的患者鳞癌抗原的表达的不同。结果 Ia、Ib1、Ib2、IIa、IIb期宫颈癌患者术后SCC-Ag水平较手术前均显著降低(P＜0.05);纳入本次研究的患者宫颈癌术后复发或转移发生率为15.38%,转归良好的患者为84.62%,预后良好的患者术后SCC-Ag水平(0.91±0.27)ng/mL较发生复发或转移的患者(1.37±0.57)ng/ml显著较较低(P＜0.05)。结论 宫颈癌患者术后血清SCC-Ag水平与肿瘤的应答之间具有关联性,术后SCC-Ag水平高的患者复发与转移发生率显著高于SCC-Ag水平低的患者,鳞癌抗原的表达对宫颈癌手术后患者的转归情况具有预测价值,临床应予以重视。