目的 构建首发脑出血患者并发卒中相关性肺炎的风险预测模型并验证模型的预测性能。方法 回顾性分析2012年1月—2022年12月广州市第一人民医院治的419例首发脑出血患者的临床资料，按照7︰3比例随机化分为训练列（293例）和验证队列（126例）。统计基于开发队列数据，采用Logistic回归模型分析首发脑出血患者并发卒中相关性肺炎的影响因素，并构建风险预测模型。基于开发队列和验证队列数据，采用校准曲线、受试者操作特征（ROC）曲线下面积和决策曲线分析模型的预测性能。结果 419例首发脑出血患者中有113例发生卒中相关性肺炎，发生率为26.97%。美国国立卫生研究院卒中量表（NIHSS）评分、吞咽困难、初始血肿体积、中性粒细胞百分比与白蛋白比值（NPAR）、中性粒细胞计数与淋巴细胞计数比值（NLR）、手术治疗、气管插管、留置胃管均是首发脑出血患者并发卒中相关性肺炎的影响因素（P＜0.05）。基于上述影响因素构建了首发脑出血患者并发卒中相关性肺炎的风险预警模型，校准曲线显示模型在开发队列和验证队列中预测卒中相关性肺炎发生率均与实际发生率相近；ROC曲线显示此模型在开发队列、验证队列中预测的曲线下面积分别为0.906（95%CI：0.867~0.937）、0.884（95%CI：0.815~0.934）；决策曲线分析显示当开发队列阈概率在3%~80%内、验证队列阈概率在2%~76%内使用此模型干预比全/无干预更有临床价值。结论 基于NIHSS评分、吞咽困难、初始血肿体积、NPAR、NLR、手术治疗、气管插管、留置胃管构建的首发脑出血患者并发卒中相关性肺炎的风险预测模型具有良好预测性能和临床应用价值。
Objective To construct a risk prediction model for stroke associated pneumonia in patients with initial cerebral hemorrhage（ICH）and validate the predictive performance of the model．Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 419 patients with ICH admitted to our hospital from January 2012 to December 2022．They were randomly divided into a development cohort（293 cases）and a validation cohort（126 cases）according to a 7∶3 ratio．The Logistic regression model was used to analyze the influencing factors of stroke related pneumonia in patients with ICH based on the development cohort data，and a risk prediction model was constructed．Based on the development cohort data and validation cohort data，the predictive performance of the model was analyzed using calibration curves，receiver operating characteristic（ROC）curve，and decision curve analysis．Results Among 419 patients，113 developed stroke associated pneumonia，with a rate of 26.97%．The National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale（NIHSS）score，swallowing difficulties，initial hematoma volume，neutrophil percentage to albumin ratio（NPAR），neutrophil count to lymphocyte count ratio（NLR），surgical treatment，endotracheal intubation，and indwelling gastric tube were all independent influencing factors for stroke associated pneumonia in patients with ICH（P＜0.05）．Based on the above influencing factors，a risk prediction model for stroke associated pneumonia in patients with ICH was constructed．The calibration curve showed that the predicted incidence of stroke associated pneumonia by the model in both the development and validation cohorts was close to the actual incidence．The ROC curve showed that the predicted area under the curve for this model in the development cohort and validation cohort was 0.906（95%CI：0.867-0.937）and 0.884（95%CI：0.815-0.934），respectively．The decision curve analysis showed that when the threshold probability of the development cohort was between 3%-80%，and the threshold probability of the validation cohort was between 2%-76%，the intervention using this model was more clinically valuable than all/no intervention．Conclusions The risk prediction model for stroke associated pneumonia in patients with ICH based on NIHSS score，swallowing difficulties，initial hematoma volume，NPAR，NLR，surgical treatment，tracheal intubation，and indwelling gastric tube has good predictive performance and clinical application value．
【摘要】目的：基于潜类别增长模型（LCGM）探讨脑出血患者神经功能恢复轨迹及不同轨迹对预后的影响。方法：回顾性采集360例自发性脑出血患者（2023年6月～2025年6月）的临床资料及神经功能评分[美国国立卫生研究院卒中量表（NIHSS）]，并采用LCGM识别神经功能恢复轨迹的潜在类别，分析影响恢复不良型轨迹的危险因素，对比不同轨迹的预后情况[改良Rankin量表（mRS）、格拉斯哥预后评分（GOS）]。结果：LCGM模型拟合结果显示，3类轨迹为最优拟合模型，可将360例自发性脑出血患者分为快速恢复型139例（38.61%）、稳定恢复型154例（42.78%）、恢复不良型67例（18.61%）；入院格拉斯哥昏迷量表（GCS）评分、初始NIHSS评分、机械通气、血管活性药物使用及血肿体积是神经功能恢复不良的独立影响因素（P＜0.05）；预后方面，三组患者mRS、GOS评分存在显著差异（P＜0.05）。结论：基于LCGM可有效识别脑出血患者神经功能恢复的异质性轨迹，同时还能明确影响患者神经功能修复的独立危险因素及不同神经功能恢复轨迹与预后的关联。
Abstract Objective: To explore the trajectory of neurological recovery in patients with cerebral hemorrhage and the impact of different trajectories on prognosis based on latent class growth model (LCGM). Methods: The clinical data and neurological function scores [National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS)] of 360 patients with spontaneous cerebral hemorrhage (June 2023 to June 2025) were retrospectively collected, and LCGM was used to identify potential categories of neurological recovery trajectories, analyze risk factors affecting poor recovery trajectories, and compare the prognosis of different trajectories [modified Rankin Scale (mRS), Glasgow Outcome Score (GOS)]. Results: The LCGM model fitting results showed that the three types of trajectories were the optimal fitting model, and 360 patients with spontaneous cerebral hemorrhage could be divided into 139 cases (38.61%) of rapid recovery type, 154 cases (42.78%) of stable recovery type, and 67 cases (18.61%) of poor recovery type; admission to Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score, initial NIHSS score, mechanical ventilation, use of vasoactive drugs and hematoma volume are independent influencing factors of poor neurological recovery (P＜0.05); in terms of prognosis, there were significant differences in mRS and GOS scores among the three groups of patients (P＜0.05).Conclusion: Based on LCGM, it is possible to effectively identify the heterogeneous trajectories of neurological function recovery in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), while also identifying independent risk factors influencing neurological function repair and establishing associations between different recovery trajectories and prognosis.
目的 基于Donabedian环节模型构建急诊脑出血患者护理质量评价体系, 并应用于临床,为急诊脑出血患者护理质量管理、监测与评价提供客观、科学的参考依据。方法 通过文献查阅、筛查与评价, 提取可行性资料, 基于Donabedian环节模型构建急诊脑出血患者护理质量评价体系的框架, 并采用德尔菲法完成两轮专家函询,确定最终的指标体系。选择2021年1月—2024年1月本院收治的230例急诊脑出血患者为研究对象, 将2021年1月—2022年6月作为干预前监测节点,该阶段的165例患者为传统组, 实施常规的护理质量管理;将2022年7月—2024年1月作为干预后监测节点,该阶段的165例患者为观察组, 实施以急诊脑出血患者护理质量评价指标进行护理质量监测管理。结果 两轮函询中专家积极系数分别为95%和100%, 意见提出率分别为56.25%和35.54%; 两轮函询专家权威系数为0.945、0.893; 第1轮函询中各项指标变异系数（CV）均值为0~0.136, Kendall’s W协调系数为0.065; 第2轮函询中变异系数（CV）均值为0~0.110, Kendall’s W协调系数为0.186。最终形成的急诊脑出血患者护理质量评价体系共涵盖一级指标3个、二级指标11个、三级指标55个。观察组入院-用药时间合格率、吞咽障碍患者动态评估率、气道管理合格率、早期被动/主动活动落实率高于传统组,差异具有统计学意义（χ2=14.850、12.261、8.183、37.420, P<0.05）, 观察组患者满意度明显高于传统组（χ2=14.049, P<0.001）。结论 本研究构建的急诊脑出血患者护理质量评价体系具有一定的科学性、可靠性和实用性, 可作为临床实现护理质量持续改进的重要评价工具。
Objective Based on the Donabedian model,the nursing quality evaluation system of emergency cerebral hemorrhage patients was constructed, and applied to clinical practice, providing an objective and scientific reference basis for realizing the nursing quality management, monitoring and evaluation of emergency cerebral hemorrhage patients．Methods Through literature review, screening and evaluation, the feasibility data was extracted, and the framework of the nursing quality evaluation system for patients with emergency cerebral hemorrhage was constructed based on the Donabedian model, and the Delphi method was adopted to complete two rounds of expert letter inquiry to determine the final index system．The study selected 230 patients with acute cerebral hemorrhage admitted to our hospital from January 2021 to January 2024 as the research subjects．The period from January 2021 to June 2022 was used as the pre-intervention monitoring period, during which 165 patients were in the traditional group, receiving routine nursing quality management．The period from July 2022 to January 2024 was used as the post-intervention monitoring period, during which 165 patients were in the observation group,implementing nursing quality monitoring and management based on evaluation indicators for the care of patients with acute cerebral hemorrhage．Results In the two rounds of letter inquiry, the positive coefficient of experts was 95% and 100%, respectively, and the rate of suggestions was 56.25% and 35.54%, respectively; the authority coefficient of experts in the two rounds of letter inquiry was 0.945 and 0.893．In the first round the mean value of coefficient of variation（CV）of each index was 0~0.136, and the coordination coefficient of Kendall’s W was 0.065; in the second round the mean value of variation coefficient（CV）was 0-0.110, and the coordination coefficient of Kendall's W was 0.186．The final nursing quality evaluation system for emergency cerebral hemorrhage patients covers 11 first-level indicators, 11 second-level indicators and 55 third-level indicators．The results showed that the pass rate of admission-medication time, dynamic assessment rate of dysphagia patients, airway management rate, and early passive / active activity implementation rate of the observation group were statistically significant different from those in the traditional group（χ2=14.850,12.261, 8.183, 37.420, P<0.05）, and the patient satisfaction in the observation group was significantly higher than that in the traditional group（χ2=14.049, P<0.001）．Conclusions The nursing quality evaluation system for emergency cerebral hemorrhage patients constructed in this study is scientific,reliable and practical, and can be used as an important evaluation tool to achieve continuous improvement of nursing quality in clinical practice．
自发性脑出血由于外伤性原因引起脑实质出血作为神经系统急危重症,该患病率约占所有脑卒中的10%~15%, 具有高患病率、高死亡率、高致残率的特点, 随着年龄的不断增长血管逐渐变薄、失去弹性,受到外在原因干扰时, 导致出血, 形成血肿, 依据血肿的不同程度, 患者的生存及预后有着显著的差异。因此快速且及时识别自发性脑出血尤为重要,可为临床医生评估患者病情变化及预后具有重要指导的意义, 然而在临床实践过程中对于快速识别脑出血的方法有所欠缺, 需要进一步优化其监测方法。因此本文综述了自发性脑出血的监测方法, 探讨通过无创监测、有创监测及联合监测自发性脑出血为临床快速高效判断脑出血提供科学的依据和参考。
The incidence of spontaneous cerebral hemorrhage accounts for about 10% to 15% of the stroke cases, and it has the characteristics of high incidence, high mortality rate, and high disability rate．It is very important to quickly identify spontaneous cerebral hemorrhage, which has important guiding significance for clinical doctors to evaluate patient condition changes and prognosis．This article reviews the latest research on non-invasive monitoring, invasive monitoring, and combined monitoring of spontaneous cerebral hemorrhage.
目的 了解脑出血患者家属参与治疗共享决策满意度现状及其影响因素,为提升脑出血患者的护理质量和家属体验提供参考。方法 采用横断面研究设计,便利抽取2022年1月—2023年7月许昌中医院收治的脑出血患者及其家属进行问卷调查。结果 共回收问卷178份,全部纳入分析。患者家属参与医疗决策的满意度得分为（48.58±6.34）分,其中维度得分最低的为交流协商。多因素分析结果显示,家属教育程度、家属年龄、家庭总年收入以及患者家属对医疗决策知情程度为患者家属参与医疗决策满意度的影响因素（F=30.872,P<0.001）,解释40.3%的变异。结论 脑出血患者家属参与治疗共享决策满意度处于中等水平,患者家属对医疗决策知情程度越高、家属教育程度越高、家属年龄较大以及家庭总年收入越高的脑出血患者家属参与治疗共享决策满意度越高。
目的 探讨系统化护理流程干预对脑出血患者急救效果及预后的影响。方法 采用回顾性分析的方法,选取2022年2月—2023年2月新乡医学院第三附属医院急诊收治的210例脑出血患者,将2022年2月—2022年8月采取常规护理干预的105例患者作为常规组,将2022年9月—2023年2月采取系统化护理流程干预的105例患者作为研究组。对比两组患者抢救效率、急救效果、并发症发生率、预后水平、护理满意度情况。结果 研究组患者抢救总时间、会诊至确诊、分诊至会诊、接诊至分诊以及出诊反应时间短于常规组（P<0.05）;研究组急救总有效率高于常规组,并发症发生率低于常规组（P<0.05）;出院1个月、3个月后,两组患者神经功能缺损量表（NIHSS）评分均降低,简易智能状态检查量表（MMSE）评分升高,研究组变化幅度更大（P<0.05）;研究组患者护理满意度高于常规组（P<0.05）。结论 针对脑出血患者在急救过程中采取系统化护理流程干预能够提升患者的抢救效率和急救效果,并发症发生率低,改善患者的神经功能缺损情况,提升预后水平,且患者满意度较高。
Objective To explore the impact of systematic nursing process intervention on the emergency response and prognosis of patients with cerebral hemorrhage．Methods By retrospective analysis,210 patients with cerebral hemorrhage admitted to the emergency department of the Third Affiliated Hospital of Xinxiang Medical College from February 2022 to February 2023,105 patients with routine nursing intervention from February 2022 to August 2022 were selected as the routine group,and 105 patients with systematic nursing process intervention from September 2022 to February 2023 were selected as the study group．The rescue efficiency,first aid effect,complication rate,prognosis levels and nursing satisfaction of the two groups were compared．Results The total rescue time,consultation to diagnosis,triage to consultation,reception to triage and the response time to visit in the study group were significantly lower（P<0.05）．The total emergency response rate of the study group was higher than that of the conventional group,and the incidence of complications was significantly lower（P<0.05）．One month and 3 months after discharge,NIHSS score decreased in both groups,MMSE score increased,and the change range was greater in the study group（P<0.05）．The nursing satisfaction of the study group was significantly higher（P<0.05）．Conclusions For patients with cerebral hemorrhage,systematic nursing process intervention in the first aid process can improve the rescue efficiency and first aid effect of patients,reduce the incidence of complications,improve the neurological function defect of patients,improve the prognosis level,and the patient satisfaction is higher．
目的 比较分析神经内镜和常规开颅手术在治疗高血压脑出血时的优劣。方法 回顾性分析我院神经外科2015年12月1日—2017年12月31日收治的60例高血压脑出血患者,根据治疗术式的不同,分为对照组和观察组,各30例。对照组行常规开颅手术,观察组给予神经内镜治疗,通过对比两组患者的手术时长、术中出血量、血肿清除率、住院时间、术后并发症及术后6个月随访效果,分析两组优劣。结果 观察组手术时长短于对照组,差异有统计学意义（P<0.05）;观察组术中出血量少于对照组,差异有统计学意义（P<0.05）;观察组血肿清除率高于对照组,差异有统计学意义（P<0.05）;观察组术后并发症（颅内感染、肺部感染）发生率低于对照组,差异有统计学意义（P<0.05）,而两组再次出血及死亡率差异均有统计学意义（P>0.05）;观察组患者术后预后效果优于对照组,差异有统计学意义（P<0.05）。结论 神经内镜在治疗高血压脑出血时对比常规开颅手术具有显著缩短手术时长及住院时间,提高血肿清除率,减少术中出血,降低颅内及肺部感染率等优势,值得临床推广应用。
Objective To compare and analyze the advantages and disadvantages of neuroendoscopy and conventional craniotomy in the treatment of hypertensive intracerebral hemorrhage. Methods 60 patients with hypertensive intracerebral hemorrhage admitted to our hospital from December 1,2015 to December 31,2017 were divided into the control group and the observation group,each with 30 cases. The control group underwent conventional craniotomy,and the observation group underwent neuroendoscopic treatment. The length of operation,intraoperative blood loss,hematoma clearance,length of hospital stay,postoperative complications,and follow-up after 6 months were compared between the two groups, to analysis the advantages and disadvantages of both groups. Results The duration of operation in the observation group was shorter than that in the control group （P<0.05）. The intraoperative blood loss in the observation group was less than that in the control group （P<0.05）;The hematoma clearance rate in the observation group was higher than that in the control group （P<0.05）;The incidence of postoperative complications （intracranial infection,lung infection） in the observation group was lower than that of the control group （P<0.05）. There was no statistically significant in rebleeding and mortality between the two groups （P>0.05）. The prognosis of the observation group was better than that of the control group. In the control group,the difference was statistically significant （P<0.05）. Conclusion Neuroendoscope in the treatment of hypertensive intracerebral hemorrhage compared with conventional craniotomy may shorten the length of operation and hospital stay,improve hematoma clearance rate,reduce intraoperative bleeding,reduce intracranial and pulmonary infection and other advantages. It is worthy of clinical promotion and application.
目的 探讨小骨窗显微手术不同手术时机对高血压脑出血患者疗效及神经功能的影响。方法 选取我院2014年5月—2016年5月收治的80例高血压脑出血患者作为研究对象,脑出血量约30～40 mL,根据出血到手术时间不同分为两组,每组40例。从出血到手术时间<6 h者为超早期作为观察组,出血到手术时间处于6~24 h间者为早期作为对照组,比较两组患者治疗后1个月GOS(格拉斯哥预后)优良率,治疗后3周、6周的斯堪的纳维亚(SSS)评分,治疗后3个月、6个月的生存质量评分及治疗后的生存情况、再出血情况。结果 观察组治疗后1个月GOS优良率为77.50%,相对于对照组明显上升(P<0.05);观察组治疗后3周、6周的SSS评分较对照组明显降低(P<0.01);观察组治疗后3个月、6个月的生存质量评分较对照组明显升高(P<0.01);两组治疗后的生存率差异有统计学意义(P<0.05),再出血率差异无统计学意义(P>0.05)。结论 对高血压脑出血患者在超早期行小骨窗显微手术可提高疗效,明显改善患者神经功能,提高生活质量及生存率,值得临床推广。
Objective To investigate the curative effects of microsurgical treatment with small bone flap craniotomy in patients with hypertensive cerebral hemorrhage and on their nerve function in different timing of surgery. Methods To select 80 cases of hypertensive cerebral hemorrhage in our hospital from May 2014 to May 2016 as the research object. The amount of cerebral hemorrhage of the patients was about 30-40 mL. According to the different time of bleeding, they were divided into two groups, 40 cases in each group. The super early period that the time from bleeding to operation was less than 6 h was regarded as the observation group, and the early period that the time from bleeding to operation is during 6~24 h was regarded as the control group. To compare the GOS (Glasgow outcome) excellent rate of patients in two groups in 1 month after treatment, the Scandinavia (SSS) score in 3 weeks and 6 weeks after treatment, and the quality of life score and survival and re-bleeding condition after treatment in 3 months and 6 months. Results Compared with the control group, the GOS excellent rate in the observation group in 1 month after treatment was 77.50% which increased significantly (P<0.05); the SSS score in the observation group in 3 weeks and 6 weeks after treatment was significantly lower than that in the control group (P<0.01); The quality of life score in the observation group in 3 months and 6 months after treatment was significantly higher than that in the control group (P<0.01); There was statistically significant difference in survival rate between the two groups after treatment (P<0.05), and the re-bleeding rate showed no significant difference (P>0.05). Conclusion The curative effects of microsurgical treatment with small bone flap craniotomy on patients with hypertensive cerebral hemorrhage is significant, which can improve the patients' neurological function, the life quality and survival rate, thus it is worthy of clinical promotion.
目的 探讨血清铁蛋白及超敏C反应蛋白联合检测对急性脑出血患者的临床意义。方法 2012年1月—2015年12月,自发性脑出血的患者77例,男42例,女35例;年龄45～82 a,平均年龄(67.19±10.17)a。根据Rankin 评分将患者分成两组,A组,MRS≤2分,预后良好; B组,MRS＞2分,预后差;另选取同期健康体检者35例作为健康对照组,即C组。分别于入院时、发病后第3天、7天、14天时,采静脉血化验血常规、Hs-CRP及SF;于入院时和发病后第3天时,进行头颅CT检查。采用美国国立卫生院神经功能缺损评分(National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale,NIHSS) 分别于入院及随访12个月时,对两组患者神经功能损伤及恢复情况进行评估。结果 77例脑出血患者在发病12个月随访时, 53例患者MRS≤2分,预后良好;24例患者MRS＞2分,预后较差。于入院时、发病后第3天、7天、14天,脑出血患者的Hs-CRP及SF水平均显著高于健康体检人员,差异具有统计学意义(P<0.05);在各时间点脑出血患者中的预后较差组Hs-CRP及SF水平均不同程度高于预后良好组;但在入院发病后第3天则显著高于预后良好组,差异具有统计学意义(P<0.05),同时,脑出血患者中的预后较差组脑水肿量及水肿系数均显著高于预后良好组,差异具有统计学意义(P<0.05)。影响脑出血预后的独立危险因素包括NIHSS评分(P=0.012),Hs-CRP(P=0.027)和SF水平(P=0.041)。结论 Hs-CRP及SF水平在一定程度上可作为脑出血预后的重要评估指标。
Objective To investigate the clinical significance of combined detection of serum ferritin and high sensitive C reactive protein in patients with acute cerebral hemorrhage. Methods From January 2012 to December 2013, 77 cases with cerebral hemorrhage male 42, female 35; aged 45 to 82 year old, average age (67.19±10.17)years old. According to MRS(Modified Rankin Scale) score criteria, patients were divided into good prognosis group(group A) with MRS ≤2, and poor prognosis group (group B)with MRS ＞2. Another 35 cases of healthy physical examination were selected as the healthy control group(group C). RT(Routine blood test), Serum Ferritin(SF)and Hs-CRP were tested at the time of admission, the third, the seventh and the fourteenth day from onset of the disease respectively. Head CT were done at the time of admission, the third day from onset of the disease respectively. Neurological assessment were scored according to the NIHSS criteria(National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale) for the patients in the two groups at the time of admission and 12 months of follow up. Results 77 cases of cerebral hemorrhage were followed up for 12 months, 53 cases with MRS ≤2, the prognosis was good; And 24 cases with MRS >2, the prognosis was poor. The levels of Hs-CRP and SF were all higher in patients with cerebral hemorrhage than that in healthy control group (P<0.05) at the time of admission, the third day,seventh and fourteen day from onset of the disease respectively. The levels of Hs-CRP and SF were higher in group B than that in control group at the time of admission, the third day, the seventh day and the fourteenth day from onset of the disease respectively, but only at the time of admission, three days from onset of the disease, the difference was statistically significant (P<0.05). At the same time, the brain edema and edema index in the group B were higher than those in group A. The independent risk factors influencing the prognosis of cerebral hemorrhage were NIHSS score (P=0.012), Hs-CRP(P=0.027) and SF(P=0.041). Conclusion Hs-CRP and SF may be important indicators of the prognosis for cerebral hemorrhage in a certain degree.
