论著
目的 分析儿童大环内酯类耐药重症肺炎支原体肺炎(SMPP)的危险因素,构建列线图预测模型。 方法 回顾性收集2023年1月—2024年9月在广州医科大学附属番禺中心医院儿科住院治疗的1 121例大环内酯类耐药肺炎支原体肺炎患儿入院初期的临床资料。按7∶3比例将患儿资料随机分为训练集(784例)和验证集(337例)。采用R4.4.1软件使用10重交叉验证最小绝对收缩与选择算法(LASSO)回归分析进行单因素变量筛选,采用Logistics回归分析建立预测模型, 绘制可视化列线图。使用受试者操作特征曲线(ROC), 校准曲线、Hosmer-Lemeshow(HL)检验及临床决策曲线(DCA)分别评估模型的区分度、校准度和临床使用价值。 结果 在训练集中, LASSO回归结合Logistics回归分析结果显示,院前发热时间>5.5 d、谷丙转氨酶>14.5 U/L、乳酸脱氢酶>287.5 U/L、C反应蛋白>18.65 mg/L、肺实变、合并病毒感染是大环内酯类耐药SMPP发生的危险因素(P<0.05), 根据上述危险因素构建列线图预测模型。训练集和验证集ROC曲线下面积分别为0.847和0.822; 校准曲线和HL检验显示模型具有良好的校准度; DCA显示预测模型在风险阈值为0.05~0.95时预测性能最优。 结论 院前发热时间、谷丙转氨酶、乳酸脱氢酶、C反应蛋白、肺实变、合并病毒感染是大环内酯类耐药SMPP发生的影响因素, 基于以上因素构建的列线图模型具有较好的预测效能, 有利于早期识别耐药重症病例, 及早采取有效干预,改善患者预后。
Objective To explore the risk factors and to construct a nomogram prediction model for severe macrolide-resistant Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia(MPP)in children.Methods The clinical data during the initial admission period of 1 121 children with macrolide-resistant MPP who were hospitalized in the Department of Pediatrics of the Affiliated Panyu Central Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University from January 2023 to September 2024 were retrospectively collected.The children data were randomly divided into a training set(n=784)and a validation set(n=337)at a ratio of 7∶3.With R language software(version 4.4.1), least absolute shrinkage and selection operator(LASSO)regression analysis with tenfold cross-validation was used to screen risk factors, Logistics regression analysis was used to establish prediction model, and a visualization of the risk variables was created using a nomogram.The receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves, calibration curves, Hosmer-Lemeshow(HL)test and clinical decision curve analysis(DCA)were used to evaluate the discrimination, calibration and clinical application value of the model.Results In the training set, LASSO regression analysis combined with Logistics regression analysis showed that prehospital fever duration > 5.5 days, alanine aminotransferase level> 14.5 U/L, lactate dehydrogenase level> 287.5 U/L, C-reactive protein > 18.65 mg/L, lung consolidation, and co-infection with virus were risk factors for severe macrolide-resistant MPP(P<0.05).A nomogram prediction model was constructed based on the above risk factors.The area under the ROC curves of the training set and the validation set were 0.847 and 0.822, respectively.The calibration curves and HL test showed that the model had good calibration. The DCA curves showed that the prediction model had the best prediction performance when the risk threshold was between 0.05-0.95.Conclusions Prehospital fever duration, alanine aminotransferase level, lactate dehydrogenase level, C-reactive protein level, lung consolidation and co-infection with virus were risk factors for prediction of severe macrolide-resistant MPP.The nomogram model based on the above factors had a good prediction efficiency, which was conducive to early identification of severe cases with macrolide-resistant, and taking early effective interventions to improve the prognosis.
论著
目的 探讨影响颈内动脉闭塞(ICAO)患者预后的相关因素,为临床改善ICAO患者预后提供理论依据。方法 回顾性分析2017—2022年广西医科大学附属武鸣医院因ICAO入住神经内科的131例患者,根据ICAO发病时间分为急性颈内动脉闭塞(AICAO)和慢性颈内动脉闭塞(CICAO),根据预后的不同,分为预后良好和预后不良组,比较两组的基本信息(性别、年龄等)、既往病史(包括高血压、糖尿病、冠心病等)、发病时神经功能损害程度(美国国立卫生研究院卒中神经功能缺损评分NIHSS评分)、侧支循环代偿评分、介入手术开通治疗、出血转化之间的差异,分析影响患者预后的相关因素。结果 CICAO患者总体预后良好,AICAO预后良好组患者发病时NIHSS评分<6分、侧支循环代偿良好比例高于预后不良组,而出血转化率低于预后不良组,组间比较差异均有统计学意义(P<0.05)。二分类Logistic回归分析显示,发病时NIHSS评分、侧支循环代偿评分、介入手术开通治疗、出血转化、次全闭塞对AICAO预后影响有统计学意义(P<0.05)。两组间的基本信息、既往病史、介入手术开通治疗等比较差异无统计学意义(P>0.05)。结论 CIACO较AICAO总体预后良好,发病时NIHSS评分<6分、侧支循环代偿良好、无出血转化是IACO预后良好的相关因素。发病时NIHSS评分高、侧支循环代偿不良、出血转化是ACAO预后不良的危险因素
Objective To evaluate the prognostic significance of a group of clinical indices in the patients with internal carotid artery occlusion(ICAO). Methods From 2017 to 2022,a total of 131 patients with ICAO were enrolled.All eligible patients were divided into acute ICAO(AICAO)and chronic ICAO groups(CICAO),which were subdivided into good and poor prognosis groups.A respective analysis was performed to identify a practical profile for the outcome prediction of the patients with ICAO. Results The overall prognosis of CIACO was good.The proportion of NIHSS score < 6 in AICAO group with good prognosis and good collateral circulation compensation was significantly higher than that in poor prognosis group,while bleeding conversion was lower than that in poor prognosis group,with statistical significance(P<0.05).Dichotomous logistic regression analysis showed that the prognostic effects of NIHSS score,collateral circulatory compensation score,interventional initiation,hemorrhagic transformation,and subtotal occlusion on the prognosis of AICAO were statistically significant.There were no significant differences in basic information,past medical history,interventional operation between the two groups(P>0.05). Conclusions The patients with CICAO have a better prognosis than those with AICAO.NIHSS score < 6,good collateral circulation and no-hemorrhagic transformation may have strong prognostic relevance to ICAO.High NIHSS score,poor collateral circulation and hemorrhagic transformation at the time of onset are risk factors for poor prognosis of ACAO .
论著
目的 观察Bax抑制因子(Bax-inhibiting peptides,BIP)对肠上皮细胞的保护作用,并探讨其作用机制。方法 建立1日龄新生大鼠的坏死性小肠结肠炎模型。BIP于建模前腹腔内注射,建模后分别检测各组肠组织病理,并分别用流式细胞仪检测各组肠细胞凋亡率,western blot法检测bax下游凋亡蛋白细胞色素C、caspase 9和caspase 3含量。结果 与NEC组及Bax10 μg组比较,bax50 μg和100 μg可减轻肠上皮损伤,减少肠细胞凋亡率,降低bax下游凋亡蛋白细胞色素C、caspase9和caspase3含量。结论 一定剂量的Bax抑制肽可通过降低活性Caspase-3及CytC蛋白释放,保护线粒体膜,抑制肠上皮细胞调亡,发挥对肠上皮细胞的保护作用。
Objective To investigate the protective effects of Bax-inhibiting peptides(BIP) on intestinal epithelial cells and to explore its mechanism. Methods The model of neonatal necrotizing enterocolitis in 1 day neonatal rats were established. Before establishing the model, BIP was intraperitoneal injected to the rats. The pathological of intestinal tissue were detected respectively, the intestinal cell apoptosis rate were detected by flow cytometry, the levels of downstream apoptosis proteins of Bax were detected by Western blotting respectively. Results Compared to NEC and Bax10μg group, bax50μg and 100 μg can significantly reduce the intestinal epithelial damage and intestinal cell apoptosis rate and can decrease the levels of cytochrome C, caspase-9 and caspase-3, downstream apoptosis proteins of Bax,significantly. Conclusion A certain dose of Bax-inhibiting peptides can protect the mitochondrial membrane, inhibit the apoptosis of intestinal epithelial cells by reducing the level of Caspase-3 and CytC and play a protective effect on intestinal epithelial cells.