表1   1990年与2019年不同SDI五分位组非酒精性脂肪性肝病伤残调整生命年的变化趋势

 

全球

 SDI

- SDI

 SDI

- SDI

 SDI

 

1990

2019

1990

2019

1990

2019

1990

2019

1990

2019

1990

2019

人口数量, n×1,000,000

5 350

 (5 239,

 5 460)

7 737

(7 483,

 7 993)

822

1 013

1 150

1 430

1 717

2 397

1 130

1 764

528

1 128

全球人群率, %

100

100

15.4

13.1

21.5

18.5

32.1

39.6

21.1

22.8

9.9

14.6

DALYs 数量, n×1 000

2 711.27

(2 078.58,

3 478.94)

4 417.28

(3 348.22,

5 671.2)

365.87

(275.87,

477.98)

554.91

(423.15,

707.93)

575.74

(442.31,725.9)

813.58

(613.15,

1 052.67)

1 002.51

(773.83,1 265.3)

1 679.78

(1 270.33,

2 139.73)

526.68

(389.4,

703.67)

948.33

(698.97,

1251.28)

238.59

(171.42,

331.23)

417.42

(300.27,562.04)

全球人群率, %

100

100

13.49

12.56

21.24

18.42

36.98

38.03

19.43

21.47

8.8

9.45

DALYs
1990–2019年变化率, %

62.92

(50.03,

78.45)

 

51.67

(41.61,

62.66)

 

41.31

(29.75,

53.93)

 

67.56

(48.79,

92.45)

 

80.06

(59.63,

104.24)

 

74.95

(48.61,

110.25)

 

100 000人率

50.68

(38.85,

65.03)

57.09

(43.27,

73.3)

44.51

(33.56,

58.15)

54.76

(41.76,

69.86)

50.05

(38.45,

63.1)

56.88

(42.87,

73.59)

58.4

(45.08,

73.7)

70.09

(53.01,

89.28)

46.62

(34.47,

62.29)

53.76

(39.62,

70.94)

45.18

(32.46,

62.72)

36.98

(26.6,

49.8)

1990–2019年变化率, %

12.65

(3.73,

23.38)

 

23.03

(14.87,

31.95)

 

13.65

(4.35,

23.8)

 

20.03

(6.58,

37.86)

 

15.31

(2.23,

30.79)

 

-18.14

(-30.46,

-1.62)

 

年龄标准化DALYs 

 100 000人率

63.28

(48.58,

80.86)

53.33

(40.73,

68.29)

37.26

(27.74,

48.87)

34.16

(26.14,

44.21)

52.09

(40.11,

65.58)

41.67

(31.71,

53.6)

86.1

(67.01,

107.57)

65.4

(50.66,

82.14)

73.8

(55.05,

95.91)

63.25

(47.35,

82.85)

86.65

(62.74,

117.91)

68.06

(49.42,

91.9)

1990–2019

变化率, %

-15.72

(-21.5,

-8.47)

 

-8.33

(-13.04,

-3.14)

 

-20

(-27.01,

-12.52)

 

-24.05

(-32.49,

-14.01)

 

-14.29

(-23.43,-3.66)

 

-21.45

(-32.56,

-7.27)

 

APC模型估算

DALYs经漂移, % 每年

-0.88

(-0.91,

-0.85)

 

-0.52

(-0.62,

-0.41)

 

-1.04

(-1.16,

-0.92)

 

-1.31

(-1.36,

-1.26)

 

-0.82

(-0.91,

-0.73)

 

-1.08

(-1.12,

-1.05)

 

注:NAFLD:非酒精性脂肪性肝病;DALYs:伤残调整生命年;SDI:社会人口学指数;APC:年龄-时期-队列。